arkansas_buff, on Oct 19 2005, 11:51 PM, said:
I voted Conway, but I think it's a shot in the dark. A lot of it will depend on incorporation over the next decade or so. Jonesboro is already the 2nd largest city in land area, which is one of the reasons the population in near 60K. Despite it's slightly slower growth rate (and I emphasize slightly), Ft. Smith has a great shot at hitting this mark. I rule out Fayetteville, Rogers, et al, because of the fact that their city limits touch, limiting the amount of occupied land each city can incorporate. At nearly 80K residents, Ft. Smith is awefully close already. So many factors...
That's why I left out Rogers out of the poll. The city is surrounded by cities on practically every side of it's borders. Lowell to the South, Bentonville to the Northwest, Little Flock to the North, and Cave Springs to the Southwest. Unless Rogers starts to build up more, than the only way I could see them beating cities like Conway or Jonesoboro is incorporating with other cities. There's still plently of land to develop in Rogers and land out near Cave Springs and Highfill that could be annexed by the city, but a lot has to happen if Rogers will ever be first. 47% of the land in Rogers is still zoned as agricultural, so there could be a chance for Rogers to zone all that land into Single and Multi Family Housing, yet other cities in NW Arkansas are also growing in Housing, so it makes for one city in NWA to reach 100,000 a little bit harder.
Edited by mcheiss, 20 October 2005 - 12:45 PM.