Padman, on Jul 10 2007, 08:11 AM, said:
I really don't know how to respond to this theme of yours Tel, but I don't think it's so far from being a strong possibility. It's a hard world, and with few barriers to entry, real estate has more than its share of fools and sharks. It's almost as bad as show biz, gambling and the stock market. Anyway, looking at thuings globally, I think that real estate should hold it's own over the long run, maybe being stagnant for the short term. With costs of energy rising, national debt soaring, and a need to maintain global hegemony and somehow address general health care issues, wages must rise while currency must continue to decrease in value. It ain't a pretty picture and a few empty condos for a while don't matter that much overall.
Yea , real estate is a joke. Really, the MLS (REIN) is the main thing they have. As time moves on, I think we will see realtors go the way of travel agents. With the internet and business optimization, there is no need for realtors. In other markets there are things spinning up, and realtors whining, like RedFin. But elimination of middlemen is good for the buyer, and seller. Sure they might have tips, but realtors are odd. Stock brokers can't garantee returns without loosing license and what not, but realtors and their associations do.
As far as global, I've thought about it a bit. I've read Friedman's Flat Earth. In the end, the USA doesn't really have to rise. Other countries will innovate more, have educated populations, and might be less burdened when it comes to things like patent laws and lawsuits.
Maybe America has run it's course? The wealthy can pack up and move, like they did with many of the better jobs.
A quick search shows increasing poverty in the USA:
# In 2005, the most recent year for which data is available, approximately 38 million people were eligible to participate in the Food Stamp Program. About 65 percent of these actually participated, a rate that has increased by 16 percent since 2007
# In 2006, an average of 26.7 million people used food stamps each month-about 1 million additional people per month compared to 2005.
I'm told locally that, for instance, Norfolk public schools year after year increases the number of students eligable for reduced/free lunch. That's pretty frigging messed up.
The people that make the money are too busy working to pay for the lifestyle, while the poor and bored are getting it on. Of course, the ideal situation would be for the uneducated, unwealthy not to breed.... but nothing is going to stop that.
I think tupac said it best in "Changes..." Instead of a war on drugs how about a war on poverty.
Sage Francis? The rich get richer till the poor get educated!
At least we have the internet, where truth and hype can persist.