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Southern Dust Bowl?


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#21 suburban george3

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Posted 10 November 2007 - 03:00 PM

View Postnashvol85, on Nov 9 2007, 05:08 PM, said:

I'm not trying to flame the author of the original post, but the idea that we could have anything remotely similar to the dustbowl in the South in the 2000's is silly. There have been a lot of changes in the economy, farming techniques, and government policy involving land management since the 1930s.

For those that are further interested in the great Dust Bowl disaster in the high plains, I suggest reading Timothy Egan's The Worst Hard Time. It provides some great insight into the struggles of those who lived through that catastrophe. It was the worst disaster in American history, and I do not think that we will have anything to compare to it in scale anytime soon.

The impacts of a multi-year drought on the Southeastern US could be devestating.  The region has been growing at a breakneck pace and evidently water management wasn't a top priority.  The parallels I was trying to draw to the Dustbowl was the migration out of the plains states due to lack of economic opportunites.  While results would be different, their are many things lining up on the world stage that could set the South up for a environmental/economic disaster:

  • Little Rainfall is expected over the winter months and many municipalities are 'supposedly' at less than a 90 day supply of water.
  • Sprawl is rampant and continuing as builders, developers, and landscapers are installing non-native plants and grasses to new development which require large amounts of irrigation to stay alive.
  • Gas prices are ratcheting higher which will ad economic pressures to Southern homeowners who travel by car alone.  Economic growth in our 'sprawl-tropolises' would be hampered as consumers have to budget more and more to fuel costs.
  • The economic outlook for the U.S. is dimming amid the credit crunch, if housing completely collapses, you will have a myriad of impacts on the SE region.   A large number of migrant workers would be unemployed and a glut of unsold houses would be on the market.
  • Agriculture is still being affected, as livestock farmers are thinning herds/numbers and hay is becoming an expensive commodity.  Not to mention stunted/failed crops.
While parallels with the 'Dust Bowl' aren't direct, it is the closet environmental/economic disaster that most folks would be aware to relate to.

 

#22 Spartan

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Posted 12 November 2007 - 11:09 AM

You won't see the migration out of the South because while agriculture is still a large part of the economy it is not employing as many workers as it did during the Dust Bowl. There is already a trend of people leaving smaller towns that don't have any service economy or that aren't well connected. We are becoming an increasingly urban society, even its its more "suburban" than "urban."

I think ultimately if we were to have a Dust Bowl-type of event because of this drought then we will certainly see a mad rush to get more water to our cities.

#23 CorgiMatt

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Posted 17 November 2007 - 12:35 PM

Here's an article on the drought-riskiest metros in the southeastern US.  

http://www.bestplace...es/Drought.aspx




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