So here we are with Tampa the chosen GOP2012 host city and I'm left evaluating what Charlotte's chances are for the DNC2012.
In my mind of the four known candidate cites, I see this as a battle of two.
Phoenix is simply out of the running for the DNC bid due the to the Arizona immigration law. There are already calls from the California and Colorado DNC party networks to boycott the convention if it goes there - so it ain't going there. Philadelphia I believe is an extremely long shot due to both finances (city leaders have admitted that it may not be able to raise the funds) and the lack of drama or change holding it in Philadelphia, which is a Democrat stronghold in a Northeast city.
So that leaves two: Charlotte and St. Louis. I already stated earlier in this thread that my gut was that if the GOP went with Tampa that Charlotte would be unlikely to be chosen as I can't envision two Southern Conventions, but that said, I think a few things have changed in our favor recently and I'm changing my odds to 60-40 in St. Louis Favor.
Below are Charlotte's pros and cons (in my mind)
Pros:
- Southern state that went blue in '08 and is more purple than anything offers Democrats a chance to repeat a 2008 Colorado type feeling
- Charlotte is becoming very popular in conservative eyes lately with everyone from Laura Bush, Sarah Palin, Karl Rove being here - I think the new battle for the South is something the current Admin would like to happen (portray) and Charlotte is as good a place as any in the South to do so.
- The recent successful NRA convention during the same week as the NASCAR HOF opening and the Ultra Swim meet with Phelps and international media (all of which went off very well) shows CLT is ready for the big stage.
- The HOF itself just increased our overall value not only in the amount of space it adds to the convention center but in the imagery it offers Democrats looking to reconnect with the perception of the common guy (I can certainly see the photo ops).
- Charlotte has a good rep for being a serious mass transit minded city (for right or wrong) which should not be underestimated in the current administrations transit aspirations
- Similarly our areas push to be an Energy Capital City is something the White House and Democrats could seriously use in promotions.
- Bank of America would make a nice repeat of Invesco Field
Cons:
- St. Louis frankly is thought to be the front runner
- Charlotte is not a union strong city, nor is NC unlike St. Louis and MO this is an issue for the DNC
- St. Louis simply is more developed downtown and an easier staging platform with the close proximity of landmarks, convention sites and major hotels. Charlotte has come a long way indeed but St. Louis has an advantage here
- While I believe the rewards could be greater with a successful Charlotte convention, so are the risks and the whole thing could go pretty bad. I believe that Obama and the DNC need to reinvigorate their base right now and St. Louis offers a safer (yet no Philadelphia safe) venue for doing that.
- As I already mentioned the GOP will be in the South for Tampa - not certain two Southern Conventions would be doable (politically, captivating for non-Southerners or media)
Just my (ongoing) thoughts on this...