ah59396

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ah59396 last won the day on August 8 2017

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About ah59396

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  • Birthday 02/13/1985

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  1. ah59396

    Perception of Charlotte Nationwide

    Oh yeah the prices are definitely going to cool. The spike has been nuts. I don’t foresee a 2007 level bubble burst though, moreso a slight dip then plateau. It’s a lot harder to buy a house now than in the mid-2000’s. So you don’t have people with minimal incomes buying ARM’s that skyrocket and force them to foreclose. At least not to the degree of 2006. Speculative condo building is usually a bad sign. I do think Seattle is in for a small pop in the condo/townhome market. I have no evidence to back that up, just purely my observation. But much like Seattle, if people keep coming to Charlotte and good jobs are present, housing prices will continue to stay strong. Price growth will just slow as interest rates keep creeping up.
  2. That’s fair. Time heals all. But I think it will be challenging for Charlotte to promote itself as both a “progressive city of the new south” while also hosting Trump’s 2020 party. None of you are fools. Politics are as contentious as ever. It’s “us or them” to the highest order. We can argue all day about who is at fault for that. However at surface level, hosting the 2020 RNC just further cements Charlotte as a conservative southern city. On a national level.
  3. ah59396

    Perception of Charlotte Nationwide

    So I’m a little biased here, but I’d argue the opposite. SF and Seattle are very dense and also bound by a number of geographic features that limit new construction. Exceptionally high demand coupled with high wages and low inventory of SFH leads to bonkers prices. I also don’t believe Charlotte is in a “bubble” as purchasing isn’t currently driven by speculation. That said, I’d argue it’s more susceptible to market fluctuations because it can continue to grow outwards through new construction , like Houston or Atlanta. Unless you know something I don’t, haha.
  4. Nationally it’s a real bad look for the city. I get that some won’t agree with that and I respect your feelings. I also understand the significant positive economic impact. Not to be discounted. However if we’re talking purely national perception, it’s a bad look.
  5. ah59396

    Charlotte economy...

    Tons of people doing that in Seattle right now. Houses they bought for $300k in the late 2000's and selling them now for $850k. Jumping ship to Arizona, Oregon and Spokane/Idaho. I think there are many who would go.
  6. ah59396

    Charlotte economy...

    I actually think Raleigh has got a really damn good shot at it. Initially I had them way down the list but it's surged into my top five with Metro DC, Toronto, Boston and Atlanta.
  7. ah59396

    Charlotte economy...

    The news out here in Seattle was talking about top destinations for HQ2 to go yesterday, in regards to health of housing market. It factored in everything from COL to schools to parks/greenways, etc. Consider how BRUTAL the housing market is here and the fact that real estate costs and homelessness dominate the local news cycle (and the blame generally is thrown on Amazon), it's easy to understand why it's a point of focus. Raleigh was the winner. FWIW.
  8. ah59396

    Charlotte area population statistics

    Respectfully I’ll have to disagree with you here. You make it sound like it’s a toss up of pros and cons between Ardrey Kell and West Charlotte. That’s just not true. Those may have been good schools at one point in their history, but I wouldn’t want my kid to go there. I mean, look at this. Which school do you think is which?
  9. ah59396

    Charlotte area population statistics

    I’d agree as well. It’s improving. However I’d argue for the long term, Charlotte MUST do everything in its power to improve CMS if it wants sustainable urban growth. What they have now simply is no where near good enough. And it seriously concerns me for its future.
  10. ah59396

    Charlotte area population statistics

    @kermit I think you make some fair points. And I definitely don’t think you’re picking on me! out of curiosity. Do you have kids? If so, would you be comfortable with them attending Garringer? Harding? West Charlotte?
  11. ah59396

    Charlotte area population statistics

    Might be a serious concern for all sunbelt cities. As the millennial generation hits the 30’s and 40’s and has kids, will we still all want to live in micro apartments in the city? Or buy a super cheap home just outside the city. It’ll be interesting to see!
  12. ah59396

    Charlotte area population statistics

    That’s correct. Detroit metro is still huge. I was referring only the city limits so thank you for clarifying that. And I don’t want to crap on Detroit either, it’s having a nice little renaissance at the moment that I hope continues. It’s really an amazing and sad example of the effects of white flight and suburbanization. Ill just be interested to see if the trend of urbanization and density continues, especially in sunbelt cities. For now, cities like Charlotte and Atlanta and Houston continue to add density and maintain pretty low cost of living relative to northern and west cost peers. There’s got to be a tipping point (I suspect) where cost of living will outweigh desire and you’ll see a greater shift to the burbs. And, unlike many more established cities, the sunbelt cities have nothing but room to sprawl more. Which again is why it’s so important for cities like Charlotte to promote smart urban planning. I also think your dead on about Charlotte’s growth figures. While the interior has been densifying as of late, I’d love to see how much we’ve really added inside the old “ring” which was effectively our 1960 city limits. I’d bet it’s less than 100k in 60 years. (I may be wrong. If so, someone please correct the crap out of me!) Edit: the CMS issue is also absolutely legit. I’m 33 and I know plenty of people my age who recently had kids and jetted for the burbs. Not even because they wanted to, but because CMS is so awful and they worried about their children going to a sketch school. Quite honestly, I would have likely done the same. I lived in a nice house off Woodlawn, walking distance to the light rail. But my son would have had to attend Harding. Ranked worse than 89% of high schools in NC. No thanks.
  13. ah59396

    Charlotte area population statistics

    Well let’s be fair, predictions are just that. In 1920, Detroit had 990,000 people. It managed to grow rapidly through an unforeseen Great Depression and benefited from WW2, eventually peaking around 1950 at a whopping 1,850,000 people. I’d bet money no one at that time would have ever thought 60 years later, Detroit would have lost over 1,000,000 people and be sitting at 730,000. Incredible and rare no doubt. But none the less, unpredictable. Let’s hope Charlotte keeps on rocking in the free world.
  14. ah59396

    Perception of Charlotte Nationwide

    Saw this tonight. How about an NBA playoffs commercial where they show Charlotte, but pop the head off BOAC so people don’t realize the shots are in the QC and think it’s Cleveland or Houston or something. That ain’t clouds. The cut the top off!
  15. ah59396

    Charlotte area population statistics

    915,000 is the big watermark to hit. Will put Charlotte over 3000/sq mile. Gets Charlotte into the ballpark of Phoenix and Austin density wise. Obviously they will continue to densify as well. For all the hype Nashville gets, its density is an impressive 1390/sq mile. Indianapolis 2300. Fort Worth 2500.