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Hey_Hey

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Hey_Hey last won the day on September 20 2015

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About Hey_Hey

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    Nashville, TN

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  1. The building will serve as carbon sequestration. Assuming that a tree will be replanted on the space again, you get both a new tree (which will absorb carbon) and sequestration of the carbon in the building. While it would probably be better from a carbon standpoint to never cut down the tree in the first place, this is superior to constructing the building out of concrete which will release a ton of carbon.
  2. Spirit is going to provide some nice price competition for Southwest to some key markets. I've noticed lately that many times Southwest is now the most expensive airline to fly on out of BNA by a decent amount of money. However, they get away with it because of the plethora of nonstop options they provide from BNA. I think most people are willing to pay a price premium to avoid having to connect somewhere. I know I am. However, if Spirit (or Alaska, Allegiant, Sun Country, or US3) offer a nonstop flight between the two destinations then Southwest has to at least be cognizant of price. Moving forward, I'm hopeful Southwest continues to add smaller markets to BNA's nonstop offerings as well as beef up some of the less than daily service there is currently. It would be great for Nashville tourism and businesses to have nonstop connections to places like Omaha, Grand Rapids, Albany, Albuquerque, and Little Rock. Of course, much of the traffic originating from those cities would be connecting passengers through BNA, so it would also support increased service other cities throughout the Southwest network and potentially some Caribbean connections. I'm also interested in the Delta "focus city" idea. To me, being a focus city would mandate some flights to non-hubs and international routes. This may be a signal that they are definitely looking at adding a CDG or AMS flight in the future, but it may also indicate a willingness to add point to point flights which would be beneficial.
  3. Yes, Delta has been running them between BNA and ATL.
  4. We don't know a whole lot about the safety of scooters yet. While it is cold, a death alone isn't a reason to get rid of the scooters because there is a fatality rate with automobiles as well. The question should be what is the fatality rate on a scooter vs a vehicle. If there is 1 fatality for every 2 million miles in a vehicle and 1 fatality for every 3 million miles on a scooter then that is important information to have. Also important is knowing what the environmental effects of automobiles are vs scooters and the increased productivity the city gets by having decreased congestion. My suspicion is that scooters probably have a higher fatality rate, but I don't have any actual data to back that up. Until then we need to withhold judgement. I also think it is ironic that we view scooters as this scourge on the city because they take up a small bit of sidewalk space while completely ignoring the vast amounts of dedicated real estate that automobiles consume in every part of our city. However, we are numb to the effects of automobiles while the relatively small effects of scooters are prominent in our minds because they are new.
  5. Here is the view of the under construction Concourse D as viewed from the food court in Concourse C. The new parking garage is in the background.
  6. I was in Phoenix this week for business and was downtown. Nashville compares very favorably to Phoenix. I would venture a guess that Nashville’s downtown/core is roughly 2-3x the size of Phoenix’s and much more lively to boot.
  7. I took this on Saturday. The Morris is in the foreground with Kenect in the background. It will really make this stretch feel much more urban once it’s complete.
  8. Good catch. Autocorrect sometimes is more trouble than benefit.
  9. I took these from the top of the Houston House pool area/TENN on Top.
  10. I would think so. Out of towners were all here last night, but Friday and Saturday night should see locals flock downtown as well.
  11. I was able to pull the data from 2010 - 2017 for housing starts in Davidson, Robertson, Rutherford, Sumner, Williamson, and Wilson Counties. I've put together some graphs of the data as well. It is very confusing to me that the Census Bureau has all of these counties having higher in-migration than Davidson despite Davidson having significantly more building of residential units. One thing does jump out to me as a possible inaccurate data point supplied from Metro to the Census Bureau. The Census Bureau breaks down units as either single family, 2 unit, 3 or 4 unit, or 5+ unit construction. What's interesting is that Davidson has essentially no two-unit construction reported despite all of the duplexes we see going up. The most ever reported out was 31 back in 2013, although we all know it is several times higher than that. This got me thinking and wondering if Davidson County's 2 on 1 lots are being counted as single family units. If they are being counted as single family units (because they are replacing single family units on lots zoned as single family) then this could result in dramatically increased numbers of units as well as affect population estimates. Here are the graphs of housing starts I mentioned above: I’ve got several more things I can add, so stay tuned.
  12. Strictly speaking, a recession has to do with negative GDP growth, but the Main Street and Wall Street effects of a recession often don't line up with the recession perfectly. The job market can be a trailing indicator while the stock market may be a leading indicator. For example, many of the job losses and rising unemployment actually hit after the recession has started or even be technically over and oftentimes stock market declines precede the actual beginning of the recession. Those two indicators hit real people harder since we either lose money in the stock market or lose wages, so those are things we all care about more i guess.
  13. We went 10 years from the early 90s recession to the early 2000s recession. Both of those recessions, especially the early 2000s recession, were shallow and short-lived as well. Recessions are generally getting less frequent and less deep, so maybe that trend will continue. Even the Great Recession wasn't much worse than average when you look at the entirety of the recessions in the prior 100 years, although a big reason it wasn't worse was because of the rapid action that was undertaken in 2008 and 2009 to repair the economy. A recession this year seems unlikely, although not impossible. Maybe 2020 will bring the next recession, but who knows?
  14. What's interesting (and questionable to me) is that the slowdown in population growth has been driven by a negative domestic migration number for Davidson County beginning in 2016. Since 2016 all of the population growth in Davidson County has been due to international migration or natural increase. That's seems really odd to me that we have seen such a big change. Here are domestic migration numbers: 2011: +749 2012: +5716 2013: +2997 2014: +2140 2015: +2012 2016: -2039 2017: -6371 2018: -4121 So between 2012 and 2017 there was an absolute difference of 12,087 people in domestic migration. That seems like a huge disparity, and it seems inconsistent with what is going on around Nashville, with one possible explanation. Is Davidson County increasingly becoming child-less? We all know the number of living units in Davidson County continues to increase, but are those units being occupied by fewer people on average because families cannot afford to live in the city or do not want to live in the type of housing being built? That being said, a 12,087 person difference in 5 years seems to be extreme. I would be interested in knowing how the Census Bureau derives its domestic migration numbers. If that model is off for Nashville then it would be easy to see how the actual 2020 Census could vary wildly from the estimates.
  15. I do think there's a strong possibility that the economic integration of Clarksville and Nashville would have been much stronger if it weren't for the hilly terrain and zoning that Nashville has in place for the northwestern quadrant of Davidson County. If the I-24 corridor northwest of downtown had the same level of allowed development as the southwest corridor of I-24 had then I think it would be very possible that Clarksville would have very strong ties. Of course, this is something that would have had to developed over decades. I wouldn't surprised if Clarksville's MSA is moved into the Nashville CSA soon. There is an increasing connectedness between the two areas driven largely by cost. While it is anecdotal, I am involved in some rentals in Clarksville and a very high percentage of new rentals are being occupied by moderate income Nashville residents being forced out of Nashville because of costs (think teachers, nurses, restaurant workers, etc), and I suspect that will continue to occur in increasing numbers. At what point that tips them over the edge to being an official CSA member, I don't know. However, I have no doubt that the economic integration is increasing quickly.
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