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Hey_Hey

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Hey_Hey last won the day on September 20 2015

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About Hey_Hey

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    Nashville, TN

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  1. This year is going to have a big asterisk beside it. Even once the coronavirus pandemic is over, which may not be for several months, there’s going to be lagging air travel that will months since people aren’t going to just start traveling immediately. I really wish I could go into the airport and see what it looks like half empty, and I haven’t been on an airplane that wasn’t at least 90% full in ages. It’s got to be surreal.
  2. I would take it to Atlanta over driving. I hate the drive to Atlanta. Amtrak is almost never faster than driving, but it sure is a lot more pleasant than driving. I’ve taken Amtrak several times to Chicago on two different lines, and it was generally a very nice experience. While Atlanta’s public transit could be better, Uber/Lyft are still options when transit isn’t viable in certain circumstances.
  3. My favorite place to do this is along Music Row. Ample on free on street parking and a plethora of rideshar cars within a couple minutes of requesting a ride. The ride into downtown from there is $6-7 or so and fast.
  4. Great news for the region and BNA! This will surely cement Spirit’s long term position at BNA. There’s no way of knowing this now, but I can’t help but wonder if this is the the first of many new WilCo relocations in lieu of Nashville given the current mayor’s curmudgeonly attitude toward corporate relocations.
  5. It’s actually probably more than that, but there are also people that move away. The 100 number is incorrectly reported in the media as the number of people moving here. The correct way to report that number is by saying the area is gaining 100 people a day in population when including births and deaths and people moving into the area and out of the area.
  6. I hope Franklin/Brentwood/Williamson will step up and welcome any businesses that Cooper isn't gung ho about. I would prefer that they locate to the core, but I would rather them locate in WilCo than go to another metro area. The growth for Williamson seems aggressive. Per this prediction Williamson will roughly equal Rutherford for the second largest county in the metro area. I would be concerned about Williamson's ability to match that growth with appropriate infrastructure improvements, and I wonder if that will check the growth a bit. The two counties that seem to me to be somewhat under predicted would be Davidson and Robertson. I suspect Robertson is going to really boom over the next 10. It has great connectivity to Nashville with I-24 and I-65 both being options, and there is still massive amounts of unused land. It also will attract people working in both the Nashville area and Clarksville area. I think Davidson County estimates are already on the low side. While I can't prove it before the 2020 census results, I think the census bureau may have been undercounting the duplexes/2-on-1 houses that have proliferated around Nashville since the end of the Great Recession and can't help but think Davidson will add more than 24% to its population over that time period. A big unknown in my mind is Cheatham County. Cheatham's growth has been artificially slowed because of an anti-development/density political leadership. If that mindset remains in place then I agree with the population projections. However, if that mindset changes I could easily see Cheatham County doubling in growth. Ashland City is as close to Downtown Nashville as Franklin is and is primed for explosive growth if the leadership desires it.
  7. I don't really know what to make of all the economic development news from the city lately. Maybe Cooper is trying to call different companies' bluffs and attract them without city incentives. To be honest the city component of these economic development deals are fairly minimal. The state is the biggest player in terms of shear monetary value of the incentives. It seems like I have read that the Nashville incentives are something like $1000/year/employee for five years (those details may be off somewhat), so even a large office of 1000 people will only result in $1 million/year of benefit to the company. In the grand scheme of things the business climate, cost of living, ability to attract talent, and commercial real estate prices are much, much more significant factors in the overall analysis. However, companies want to go where they are desired, and if $$$ is the only way to show that desire then maybe we'll lose out on these deals for that reason.
  8. A general rule of thumb is that a condo’s monthly rental rate should be roughly 1% of the market value. There are all sorts of exceptions to this (Nashville may actually be more like 0.75% because of expected appreciation in prices), but it gets us at least in the ballpark of what rents should be. So a $500/month rent would equate to a $50,000 sales price, a $2000 rental price would equate to ~ A 3-bed penthouse condo would probably sell on the open market for $2 million,which would equate to a monthly rental of $20,000, so these penthouse units may actually be a relative steal.
  9. The big question for 2020 will be if/when the MAX grounding grounding is lifted. I don’t know how much more Southwest can grow as long as the MAX planes are unavailable. Allegiant will have a much larger presence, and Spirit will be here for the entire year. However, for us to meaningfully grow I think we have to see Southwest increase their daily flights since they are so big at BNA.
  10. I’m the one that got the Dakotas mixed up. They blur in my head. I also did not get the Peoria flight, and it looks like the Grand Forks flight is a special flight one time only like Sean mentioned. These flights can have pretty big implications for Nashville. These are pretty clearly setup to bring people to Nashville for leisure. Assuming they get just 125 people on each flight, that means we will have over 1000 people coming into Nashville each weekend on just these flights. It’s crazy to think, but the people Allegiant brings with this announcement could effectively fill a hotel like the new Embassy Suites downtown.
  11. Picked this up from a post over at Airliners.net: Allegiance Air will be adding nonstops from BNA to Bozeman, MT; Tulsa; Flint, MI; Pittsburgh; Fargo, ND; Grand Forks, SD; Sioux Falls, ND, Greensboro, NC; and Norfolk.
  12. I took these earlier this week. 2012 West End is going to complement The Graduate Hotel really well and hide the Less impressive “back side”.
  13. 31k over six years isn’t terribly far off what we are currently producing. The Nashville MSA built 18,043 units in 2018 (12,343 being single family houses). I’m 2017 there were 19,292 units constructed. I don’t have the county specific numbers in front of me, but it isn’t logistically difficult to build 6200 units per year in Davidson County. The more difficult question is whether 6200 units can be built in Davidson county that are economically viable for the developers and potential home buyers/renters.
  14. I don’t think we have any regularly scheduled passenger 767s. We may get an occasional diversion from ATL and we get FedEx 767s, but no passenger 767s. The only wide body plane for passengers is the BA 787. Delta will use 757s from BNA to ATL, and we get numerous a321s and Boeing 738/739.
  15. I really like the balcony addition. Those balconies are going to make this feel even more lively and human-scaled as experienced from the pedestrian street/plaza. It should extend the “feel” of Broadway into this area.
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