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Mr_Bond last won the day on September 11 2015

Mr_Bond had the most liked content!

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About Mr_Bond

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  • Birthday May 6

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    Nashville, Tampa/St. Pete, Orlando
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    Economics, finance and investments, gardening, running, sailing, canoeing.

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  1. I didn't know he owned that little slice of a parking lot! To me, this information makes the possible Ritz Carlton news even more exciting! I love this city, and I love UP (on most days)!
  2. Thanks for finding that website. But thanks more for the attitude of gratitude!
  3. While this isn't an 'answer' per se, it is a path to an answer and perhaps a topic that we could cover in more detail in this thread. We should split the discussion into the various market segments and reflect on each of those individually. The downtown and midtown development primarily serves high income earners who do not have children of middle school and high school age. Multi-family in other parts of Davidson county will attract a different demographic, or several. New neighborhoods in surrounding counties will be attractive to families with children and those who can't afford to live closer in. In other words, Nashville is big enough that we should think of the residential development boom in those segments and perhaps more. Commercial and entertainment also deserve their own discussions.
  4. The Liberty University situation is another one where the truth is quite far from what was reported, and has changed since the news item hit but no follow-up story has been done (of course. "Problem addressed" doesn't make news headlines like "There is a problem!") I spoke with a student there who said almost everyone returned to campus from spring break, packed up their stuff, and went home. The school did not extend spring break because they felt the students were more exposed to coronavirus while on break than they would be on campus. Also, they have a lot of international students who may have a very difficult time getting home. Their ability to conduct online classes is well-advanced since they have offered online degrees for several years. The school is complying with city, county and state guidelines. https://www.liberty.edu/students/health-wellness/coronavirus/ Speaking of eating out, Frothy Monkey in 12 South is doing a great job. I pulled into a parking spot in the back, called the phone number as directed, and an employee brought out my order and set it in the my passenger seat. Burger Up was not a pleasant experience. I had to enter the restaurant and find a place to stand at least 6 feet away from several other customers waiting inside. When I told them I had ordered online, they told me the kitchen would put my order in a case next to the kitchen door. To reach the case, I had to walk within three feet of three employees. No, thank you.
  5. https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/03/irans-coronavirus-problem-lot-worse-it-seems/607663/ There's a team at The Atlantic that is doing excellent journalistic work on the coronavirus. This article focuses on what might be happening in Iran.
  6. If you go to the Johns Hopkins coronavirus website and click on the name of countries in the left column, the graph of their confirmed cases shows up in the lower right hand corner. For the countries who are quite open about the number of cases, the graphs look very similar and could be used as standard to apply to all countries. When I look at Iran's graph, it is quite clear that the data is being manipulated.
  7. The scenario you describe would certainly be a major disaster, especially after all the pain we've been through already. My interpretation of what POTUS said is that they would begin by opening certain parts of the country - like Montana, west Texas, areas of the country where there are very few cases. He did not say what the next step would be. He said that he is listening to the experts and heeding their advice. This sounds like a measured way to create more cases without overwhelming the medical system, building herd immunity one step at a time.
  8. Also from my letter to clients: "You may have heard some talk of how warmer weather would affect the spread of the virus. Last week, a team of researchers unveiled the results of a new study that looked at how temperature and humidity may affect the transmission of COVID-19. According to the researchers' findings, “High temperature and high relative humidity significantly reduce the transmission of COVID-19.” An increase of just one degree Celsius and 1% relative humidity increase substantially lower the virus’s transmission, according to the data analyzed by the researchers. The researchers studied 100 different Chinese cities that each had more than 40 cases of COVID-19 from Jan. 21 to 23. The decision to study transmission on those dates was critical because that time period was before China intervened on Jan. 24 to stop the spread of the virus. Analyzing that timeframe allowed researchers to observe the natural spread of the virus before public health measures, which have since helped reduce the spread drastically in China, were implemented. If this study’s conclusions are valid, the coming of spring and summer could help us flatten the curve until cooler weather arrives in the fall."
  9. Yesterday I sent a letter to clients touching various aspects of this situation. Relevant to the recent comments on this thread, I'll share the paragraph about the 'Recovered.' "If you’ve been looking at some coronavirus charts, you’ll see data like number infected, number of daily new cases, number of deaths, and something called ‘recovered.’ This last data point is the one that leads us back to normalcy. Currently, most of us are thinking in terms of two groups of people: those who are infected and those who do not want to become infected. We must also focus on a third group of people: those who have recovered. When a vaccine is developed, we can expand the ‘recovered’ group to include those who have been vaccinated. Each person who has recovered and is not infectious can go about his or her normal life in the midst of a pandemic. They can teach children, treat patients, clean teeth, serve food, solve crimes, and move about the public. If these people are identified, the public will have confidence that these people are safe to interact with us. Once we are approaching herd immunity, we will no longer need to identify the people who have recovered or been vaccinated." Additional note: The path to normalcy may involve government allowing/encouraging specific groups of people to get out and act normal, knowing that those people may get infected. If testing is ramped up and results are available in minutes or hours, we can monitor the spread of the virus in each group that is 'released.' These people get infected, recover and are permanently normal. If we combine this strategy with antiviral drugs that lessen the effect then this will work. We increase herd immunity at a measured pace without overwhelming the health care system. Once a vaccine is ready, we give it to everyone ASAP and we have herd immunity.
  10. When assembling the crane on 3/18 they did not add the small metal extension at the top and the cables attached to it that lend extra support to the boom (my terms may not be correct). Is that extra support required on every crane or do some not need it?
  11. I find it humorous that our anti-growth mayor says that construction and development businesses are essential.
  12. I ran by here yesterday afternoon and hoped that the scaffolding would not fall. Picked up my pace a little.
  13. Recessions are defined as two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth. It will be interesting to see if the decline in the numbers for the last two weeks of March are enough to pull Q1 into negative territory. If not, Q2 will be the first negative quarter. If Q3 is also negative, we officially have a recession. If personal and business activity can begin to get back to normal in July, it's possible that Q3 shows a positive number and we won't have an official recession. I'm not saying that will be the case, just that it's an interesting possibility. According to Investopia (usually a reliable site), a depression is defined as a recession of three or more years or a decline in GDP of at least 10%. I think it's possible we hit that number in Q2. Since Nashville's economy has been so strong and has a healthcare base that will do well during the pandemic, we stand a decent chance of seeing a relatively quick return to the new normal, whatever that will look like.
  14. I've been listening to every minute of the briefings each day and heard him say "we're not a shipping clerk" but that comment was made in answer to a question and in no way reflects my takeaway of the briefing. The question was something like "Will you be sending these supplies to the states?" He said that the federal government is not shipping to the states but the states will be getting supplies direct from the manufacturers without federal bureaucracy getting in the way. He spent much time stating that the federal government is talking to manufacturers of all the medical products we need (test kits, masks, ventilators, drugs, even making hospitals out of cruise ships) and making sure they are producing more than they ever have before. This is why he invoked the Defense Production Act. Some reporters wanted to know why he hasn't gone beyond simply invoking the act and his answer was that he is prepared to do so but hasn't needed to yet. My point is not to defend Trump. I'm trying to speak to the facts. It sounds to me like the federal government is working at the highest level to force manufacturers to ramp up production.
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