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KJW

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  1. "The Northwest Arkansas Regional Planning Commission will apply for a federal grant to help cash-strapped Missouri finish its part of Interstate 49 around Bella Vista." (Let's see whether this works) : https://www.aaroads.com/forum/index.php?topic=3324.msg2261941#msg2261941
  2. The 2018 Nielsen DMA rankings have been released. NWA/Fort Smith continues to go up the list, now at #98, up 1 ranking from last year. Little Rock-Pine Bluff is #58. There was a time when the difference between the two was about 100 places if not much more. https://www.tvb.org/Portals/0/media/file/DMA/2017_2018_DMA_Ranks.pdf
  3. (Comreguy, I don't want to restart the bandwagon but...I've maintained that we'd know how big this area really is when the area fills in between south Rogers and north Springdale along I-49, and when the airport gets a decent (i.e. 4-lane) road to its gates. Both are becoming co-located now. That being said, there's no doubt in my mind now that a Cheescake factory in the right place (i.e. near Chuy's, or Pleasant Grove) will clean up in NWA. Don't get me wrong, you and your real estate compatriots at the C.F. must be very wise and have guidelines, and there are excellent, critical reasons for that. But NWA is becoming a place that there's not quite a model for. Again, the "flip" of the FSM/NWA TV market, with television stations moving their main from the center of the market to the very edge of it, is pretty much unprecedented in America. I almost couldn't believe some of the things I saw yesterday on visiting Bentonville/Fayetteville from out-of-state. This place is becoming a wonderland.)
  4. Architect, the Tulsa MSA is indeed larger, but Little Rock is more like OKC in that it covers most of the state, moreso than the latter, which isn't border-to-border east-to-west the way LR (which extends from Helena to Mena) is...partially (as you point out) because Tulsa blocks it in the east as far south as McAlester.
  5. KJW

    Fort Smith

    Telling you, there is NO TV market in America that has seen some of the strange and quirky things that "Fort Smith/Fayetteville/Rogers" has. "KXNW, UHF digital channel 34, is the MyNetworkTV-affiliated television station for Northwest Arkansas that is licensed to Eureka Springs. The station is owned by the Tribune Broadcasting subsidiary of Tribune Media Company as part of a duopoly with Fort Smith-based CBS affiliate KFSM-TV (channel 5). Both stations share studios located on North 13th Street in downtown Fort Smith. While Eureka Springs also is located in the Springfield, Missouri market, Nielsen considers this station to be part of the Fort Smith/Fayetteville market." https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/KXNW
  6. KJW

    Fort Smith

    Apparently Channel 5, KFSM, will move from their old (former Carnegie Library building) headquarters in Fort Smith to bigger quarters somewhere in NWA (Comreguy, any idea where that might be, as I doubt it will be in the Fayetteville mall) though keep a presence in Fort Smith. Nonetheless, there will be, in the future, not one but TWO new private high school level schools in FSM, both in Chaffee Crossing. The new Fort Smith Catholic High School will be built there, as will the new Montessori School (to be given a different name) that will gradually add high school levels. With all that's changing in Fort Smith (and will do so even more when I-49 is linked via the future bridge) these TV stations must think NWA is going to get really big.
  7. The ethnic market rankings will come out later. Fort Smith/Fayetteville has been a top 75 market in America for both Asian and Hispanic viewers in the last rankings, so we'll see if there has been any movement. One last thing: if you add the current FSM/Fayettville/Springdale/Rogers and Little Rock markets together, you get 852,650 TV households. If they were a conjoined market, they would rank #37 in America at this point in time, right behind: 36. Cincinnati 35. Milwaukee 34. Salt Lake City 33. Kansas City There is starting to be some media power in the Natural State.
  8. The new Nielsen rankings were just released today. For the first time ever, the Fort Smith-Fayetteville TV market is ranked in double digits, in the top markets in America, at #99. (As a measuring standard, the market was around 200 or higher 30 years ago, before Benton and a few other counties were added): http://www.nielsen.com/content/dam/corporate/us/en/docs/solutions/measurement/television/2016-2017-nielsen-local-dma-ranks.pdf There may be some other interesting news, too in this when the ethnic rankings are released later. BTW, there was some good media news for Fort Smith today. Natural State Media, located in the city, is buying the Northwest Arkansas Business Journal. It will be interesting to see how the combined media grow in the future, but this is an HQ move of sorts back to the Southwest. http://talkbusiness.net/2016/09/talk-business-politics-to-acquire-northwest-arkansas-business-journal/
  9. KJW

    Fort Smith

    From a businessman online friend in Fort Smith: " When I-49 is complete, Fort Smith will explode. It will be at the corner of I-40 and I-49, in the center of the U.S. With access to rail and river, the proximity to major trucking lines (ABF, C. R. England, J. B. Hunt, USA Trucking, Jones Truck Lines etc.) it will be, perhaps, the single largest drop and ship hub (not attached to a sea or ocean) in the country. It will be central most drop point for shipped items arriving in the gulf ports for distribution east, west, and north.I read a study several months ago that predicted that, after the completion of I-49, the River Valley will be one on the 5 fastest growing areas in the country, with a return of it's strong manufacturing base to take advantage of it's, now enhanced, ability to ship North, South, East, and West.According to a couple of friends of mine on the FS Board of Directors and the Fort Chaffee Redevelopment Authority, east and south of Fort Smith is being gobbled up in huge chunks by investors in anticipation of the growth that will be facilitated by the completion of I-49. "
  10. KJW

    Fort Smith

    Add metro Fort Smith to the expanding population. This would put the metro Fort Smith area to about 400,000. A combined NWA/FSM of 1,400,000 would be bigger than metro Memphis is today:
  11. Comreguy, Months ago we'd speculated on the possibility of Menard's coming some day to NWA. They're about to open a Menard's east of U.S. 65 in southern Hollister, MO, barely 10 miles above the Arkansas line. They may never go any farther in this direction, but this will be their farthest south location yet (surpassing the Poplar Bluff, MO store which previously held that honor). Jane, MO might have been a good location for them once right above BV; we'll see... http://bransontrilakesnews.com/news/article_a89d2c18-2441-11e6-868d-7b725f108822.html
  12. KJW

    NWA Growth

    Walmart CEO Doug McMillon was quoted yesterday as saying NWA will have over 1,000,000 people within 15 years at projected growth rates. Here's some rough math. Forgive me as I don't have links for the numbers, but they're out there: Date NWA officially "hit" the 500,000 mark: April 30th, 2014. Average net per day gain of people moving into NWA since then: 31 per day Using above numbers, the current population of NWA today: 525,978* (*500,000 + (838 (number of days since April 30th, 2014 x31, =) 25,978 Now, how would you add 500,000 people over the next 15 years? 15 (years) x 365 (days per year) = 5,475. 500,000 divided by 5,475=91.32 That means that he (and whomever is advising him) is projecting NWA (not counting metro Fort Smith) will grow over the next 15 years by an average of 91 people per day. If those estimates hold true, hold onto your hats, friends, and be prepared for anything, eventually.
  13. From this article published yesterday, about work on I-49 in NWA. Hello, all...visitor from the NWA forum here. Just did some quick number-crunching and found this interesting, using numbers from the above piece, plus latest census bureau estimates for White County. Central Arkansas (Pulaski, Saline, Faulkner, Lonoke, Perry, Grant Counties, I'm pretty sure) population for 2014: 729,135 Pine Bluff (3 county metro, again, I'm sure) population for 2014: 94,716 Hot Springs/Garland County population for 2014: 97,322 White County population for 2015: 79,161 I know its mixing 2014 with 2015, but the article says the CA region is growing by about 2,600 people annually, so there may be more. But if you add up the four numbers above, the total is 1,000,334. Arkansas is going to have 2 million-person metro areas some day. The changes such dual events bring are going to be interesting to watch. (I know that Hot Springs is the metro area that's usually not linked in with the other three. But HS suburb Hot Springs Village is in Saline County and there have to be a lot of Garland Countians who commute to the LR metro area to work. Plus, all four are in the same media market. (By contrast, the Missouri county which is part of NWA is in a MO/KS TV market which is very unusual.) I know this...we moved from LR to near Gainesville, GA in 1991, and moved back to Arkansas (Bentonville) in 2002. In the late 80s when we first moved to LR, a DJ at then AM station KOKY used to call Little Rock as "the itty bitty city they call 'the tiny rock'." Whenever I drive through this place now, it feels much more "million-person" than "itty bitty" or "tiny"...)
  14. KJW

    NWA Growth

    "Wow". Just "wow". (Right now, that's a net of 11,300+ new people per year. And this region's not finished expanding yet (see: an ever-more-completed-I-49): POPULATION GROWTH FEEDING NEED FOR ROAD WORKFor several years the four-lane I-49 through Benton and Washington counties has not been enough to handle the rise in traffic volume produced by a fast-growing metro population.U.S. Census estimate updates released March 24 show that the Northwest Arkansas metro area accounted for most of the state’s population growth in the past five years, and only 35 of the nation’s 381 metro areas posted a higher population gain in the past five years than Northwest Arkansas.The Northwest Arkansas metro – home to corporate giants Wal-Mart Stores Inc, Tyson Foods, and J.B. Hunt Transport, as well as the University of Arkansas – had population growth of 50,532 between April 2010 and July 1, 2015, according to updated Census data. During the past year (July 1, 2014 – July 1, 2015), the region’s population grew by 11,495.“The latest Census estimates show Northwest Arkansas grew by more than 31 people per day from July 2014 to July 2015. That’s a solid increase because our average day between the April 2010 Census and the July 2014 estimate brought us about 25 new people,” Rob Smith, communications and policy director with the Northwest Arkansas Council, said following the March update.http://talkbusiness.net/2016/07/almost-nine-lanes-of-i-49-through-bentonville-and-rogers-set-for-widening-construction/
  15. KJW

    Fort Smith

    "Harmon told Talk Business & Politics he has potential tenants with “firm growth plans,” but would not speculate as to what types of companies might use the Riverside building or how many jobs might be created. Harmon did tease that Spartan is looking at other warehouse space in Fort Smith. His belief is that Fort Smith, because of geography and transportation infrastructure, is a good location to service customers in Arkansas, Oklahoma and Texas – especially Texas. 'From a distribution standpoint, we believe Fort Smith is very compatible to the Dallas market. That’s why we are very enthusiastic about it,' Harmon said. And while he did agree that the Fort Smith regional economy was hit hard with manufacturing losses, Harmon is bullish on the region’s future. 'Fort Smith, I think, is positioned (for growth), and we want to be there, to have a part in that recovery. … The long-term outlook for us is that Fort Smith and Arkansas is the place we need to be,' Harmon said." Hmmm...Spartan Logistics is going from having 100,000 feet of warehouse space to 1,000,000+ of same. http://talkbusiness.net/2016/01/spartan-acquires-riverside-warehouse-owner-optimistic-about-fort-smith-economy/ Friends, I'm telling you...if I-49 and I-69 (Texas as well as Arkansas for the latter, with Gov. Hutchinson apparently hoping for a 10 year time limit on the Arkansas projects with his proposed transporation financing plan) are finished, this is a taste of what very likely will happen
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