Charlotte area population statistics

[Prodev]

^Related to that point, I was having a discussion with someone who grew up here and they were talking about graduating law school back in the mid 90s. One big factor for choosing to go to Atlanta over Charlotte was that there was nowhere to live here as far as apartments, especially located within the center city area. While I'm sure there were one or two reasonable options then, we've come a really long way since that time. Even when I first moved here in '05, Eastover Ridge seemed at the time to be the only option and, in hindsight, that seems very suburban to me now. Having all the in town options, despite what may result in short term oversupply, is a big step for the city, urbanization, and attracting new residents, especially young professionals. 

[Bishop Dan]

I lived in Charlotte from 2001-2005, it's absolutely crazy how much growth has happened there. When I moved there 485 ended at Providence, and if you turned south there was nothing but the border! I'm glad to read there is a focus on denser development; that's a similar story to what's happening here (Columbus). We did the annex like crazy thing, too. That's great for not getting hemmed in by suburbs (hi, Cleveland) but at some point one suburb looks like the next and hello, traffic.

Keep it up, guys. It's fun to watch a continued success story.

[cltbwimob]

That would put us on par with Atlanta and Tampa (currently). Not bad at all. Love to see the city adding density. I'd really love to see is get into Denver's current range, roughly 4000/square mile. I feel like that's our magic number. It'd require us to have a city population of roughly 1.2million. So it's not going to happen tomorrow, but certainly possible by 2040 if current growth holds.

I agree that 4,000/ square mile is the sweet spot. At current growth rates, Charlotte should reach that level by around 2035. Charlotte should break 1 million in about 10 years, once again, assuming current growth rates.

[rjp212]

Interesting projections by the UN.  It has Charlotte and Raleigh being the fastest growing large "urban agglomerations" in the country between 2010 and 2030. 

 

http://ui.uncc.edu/story/charlotte-and-raleigh-are-fastest-growing-large-cities-un-projections

[ah59396]

Interesting projections by the UN.  It has Charlotte and Raleigh being the fastest growing large "urban agglomerations" in the country between 2010 and 2030. 

 

http://ui.uncc.edu/story/charlotte-and-raleigh-are-fastest-growing-large-cities-un-projections

 

Some more interesting tid-bits regarding our urban projections.  I've attached an excel file put out by the UN that projects our figures, along with all other cities over 300,000 inhabitants worldwide through 2030.  As you can see, we are expected to have an urban area of roughly 2.16 million by 2030.  As of 2015, we are at 1.61 million.

 

At 2.16 million in 2030, we will have roughly the urban population of present day Baltimore, St Louis, Portland or almost Denver.  I'd be happy to be in that range in 15 years and I think this is fairly accurate.  Thoughts?

 

WUP2014-F12-Cities_Over_300K.xls

Edited November 17, 2014 by ah59396

[teeg]

 As you can see, we are expected to have an urban area of roughly 2.16 million by 2030.  As of 2015, we are at 1.61 million.

 

 

Can somebody check my math?  I think that works out to a 2% rate of growth per year, which seems awfully conservative.  

[Guest]

Can somebody check my math?  I think that works out to a 2% rate of growth per year, which seems awfully conservative.  

I was thinking it was awfully conservative as well. Based on previous urban growth, I would think we'd be around 2.3 or 2.45

[ah59396]

Can somebody check my math?  I think that works out to a 2% rate of growth per year, which seems awfully conservative.  

 

Your math is right.  It estimates we will add 37,000 per year to our urban area.

[Richhamleigh, DC]

Do we know if the geography of the CLT "urban area" is changed for the 2030 estimates or are the estimates based on growth within the boundaries of the current UA?

[cltbwimob]

Do we know if the geography of the CLT "urban area" is changed for the 2030 estimates or are the estimates based on growth within the boundaries of the current UA?

The projection is likely based predominantly on the current UA considering that the UA is expected to grow from just under 1.3m to 2.16m which is approximately a 70% increase...the same percentage increase the UN report cited. If the UAs of Concord, Gastonia and Rock Hill are added, the 2030 number will probably be closer to 2.75 million people in 2030. Whether or not the UAs merge will be determined by OMB definitions to be released after the 2020 census.

If the UAs merge, I would expect the MSA population to be somewhere between 3.75 and 4 million people by 2030.

[ah59396]

NC has surpassed Michigan as the 9th largest state by population in the country, http://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2014/cb14-232.html, RIGHT under 10,000,000 people.

 

 

Using crude math based on the prior 3 years of growth in the state versus growth in Mecklenburg county, Meck generates about 22% of that growth.  If all those assumptions and magical beans are accurate, you can assume Mecklenburg added 21,031 people from 2013 - 2014.  That's 1,012,008 people as of July 2014.  

 

You can also assume the city of Charlotte added about 14,000 of that 21,000 for the county, which would put the city at about 806,680.  Again, these are based off the growth rates between 2010 - 2013 and how the county compares to state growth and how the city compares to county growth.  But it gives you a pretty good idea of where we are.

[RiverwoodCLT]

Using US Census data

Charlotte 2010-- 738,710

Charlotte July 2013 792,862 EST---gain of 54,152 over 2010 18,051 people per year.

Charlotte July 2014-- 810,913 EST

Charlotte December 2014-- 819,939 Est.

Charlotte February 2015-- 820,235 Est.

Edited March 2, 2015 by RiverwoodCLT

[ah59396]

Using US Census data

Charlotte 2010 738,710

Charlotte July 2013 792,862 ---gain of 54,152 over 2010 18,051 people per year.

Charlotte July 2014 810,913

Charlotte December 2014 819,939 Est.

Charlotte February 2015 820,235 Est.

 

 

Are these estimations?  Or are you pulling this figures from a source?

[RiverwoodCLT]

I use US census data only.

Anything after 2010 are estimations. Us census 2013 are estimations.

We will have to wait for 2020 census to get the true numbers.

Charlotte at 2000 was 569,858 a 168,852 increase for 10 years or about 16,852 which is lower that Us est.

form 2010 to 2013. I do not know why the increase.

Form 2000 to 2013 a gain of 223,004. I would not bet my life on theses numbers.

Edited March 2, 2015 by RiverwoodCLT

[RiverwoodCLT]

[RiverwoodCLT]

Using the average year increase from 2000 to 2010 I get  809,065 as of February 2015.

 

This 11,170 less  from using US census data  from 2010 to 2013 average.

Edited March 3, 2015 by RiverwoodCLT

[rjp212]

If Columbus and Charlotte continue to add the same amount of people each year, then we should overtake them around 2018.  Making us the 15th largest city. Of course a lot can change over time.

 

Columbus (12,450/year)

2013: 822,553  

2014: 835,003

2015: 847,453

2016: 859,903

2017: 872,353

2018: 884,803

2019: 897,253

2020: 909,703

 

Charlotte (18,420/year)

2013: 792,862

2014: 811,282

2015: 829,702

2016: 848,122

2017: 866,542

2018: 884,962

2019: 903,382

2020: 921,802

----

2025: 1,013,902.

 

 

Just for craps and giggles I did the cities just above Columbus as well.  Based on continued numerical change we will overtake each city in rankings in the year that I have bolded.  We should be ranked 12th by the time the 2020 Census comes out.  Crazy!

 

San Francisco (10,022/year)

2013: 837,442

2014: 847,464

2015: 857,486

2016: 877,530

2017: 887,552

2018: 897,574

2019: 907,596

2020: 917,618

 

Jacksonville (5,975/year)

2013: 842,583

2014: 848,558

2015: 854,533

2016: 860,508

2017: 866,483

2018: 872,458

2019: 878,433

2020: 884,408

 

Indianapolis (8,550/year)

2013: 843,393

2014: 851,943

2015: 860,493

2016: 869,043

2017: 877,593

2018: 886,143

2019: 894,693

2020: 903,243

 

 

Source: http://factfinder2.census.gov/faces/tableservices/jsf/pages/productview.xhtml?src=bkmk

Here's what I did back in May.  We should see this summer, if those numbers have held up or not.

Edited March 3, 2015 by rjp212

[RiverwoodCLT]

More proof that Charlotte is a boomtown

 

http://www.bizjournals.com/charlotte/news/2015/03/05/more-proof-that-charlotte-is-a-boomtown.html?ana=e_du_pub&s=article_du&ed=2015-03-05&u=wliErbChCYS6n81xplCL1O+yqpF&t=1425589726

[cltbwimob]

^Based on your numbers, it looks like Charlotte is on the fast track to become the largest city in the Southeastern US and the 12th largest in country.

[15895]

^Based on your numbers, it looks like Charlotte is on the fast track to become the largest city in the Southeastern US and the 12th largest in country.

While it doesn't reflect reality (we're obviously #2 behind ATL) it'll be cool having the "largest in the south" title.

[cltbwimob]

While it doesn't reflect reality (we're obviously #2 behind ATL) it'll be cool having the "largest in the south" title.

Indeed

[ah59396]

County and metro population estimates for 2014 get released to the public on Thursday.  They were released via embargo to the media today.  I fully expect "official" word of Mecklenburg and likely Wake both surpassing the vaunted 1,000,000 person count.

 

Additionally, assuming all remains relatively equal based on the last 3 years of growth, the Charlotte metro should land at about 2.375 million surpassing the Pittsburgh metro (should be at about 2.362 million) to become the 22nd largest in the country.  We won't pass anyone else for a while after that (maybe a decade or more).  Denver is 21 and growing quicker than us, while Baltimore and St Louis (20 and 19 respectively) sit around the 2.8 million mark.  

 

We are adding about 40,000 people a year to our metro based on the last 3 years of growth.

[grodney]

County and metro population estimates for 2014 get released to the public on Thursday.  They were released via embargo to the media today.  I fully expect "official" word of Mecklenburg and likely Wake both surpassing the vaunted 1,000,000 person count.

 

Additionally, assuming all remains relatively equal based on the last 3 years of growth, the Charlotte metro should land at about 2.375 million surpassing the Pittsburgh metro (should be at about 2.362 million) to become the 22nd largest in the country.  We won't pass anyone else for a while after that (maybe a decade or more).  Denver is 21 and growing quicker than us, while Baltimore and St Louis (20 and 19 respectively) sit around the 2.8 million mark.  

 

We are adding about 40,000 people a year to our metro based on the last 3 years of growth.

 

Cool, always love the new numbers.  Here's what I have currently:

792,862 city of Charlotte (16th)

990,977 county of Mecklenburg (45th)

2,335,358 MSA (23rd)

2,493,040 CSA

 

(2,454,619 primary census statistical area (not updated since 7/2012 numbers))

 

2,754,985 Charlotte Region -- marketing -- http://charlotteusa.com/business-info/charlotte-usa-overview/

1,249,442 Charlotte Urban Area - 2010 number

[kermit]

Sprawl is back.....

Edited March 26, 2015 by kermit

[Third Strike]

From the Charlotte Observer:

 

2013: Charlotte, 792,862; Raleigh, 431,746

2014: Mecklenburg County, 1.01 million; Wake County, 998,691

2014: Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia metro area, 2.4 million; Raleigh metro area, 1.2 million; Durham-Chapel Hill metro area, 542,710

Regional county growth leaders, 2013-14

Lancaster, S.C., 3.3 percent*

Union, 2.8 percent*

York, S.C., 2.5 percent

Cabarrus, 2.4 percent

Mecklenburg, 2 percent

*Union’s rate was third-highest in North Carolina; Lancaster’s was tops in South Carolina.

 

 

Looks like Union is back to being one of the fastest growing counties in the state. Also, at this rate, I expect Wake to surpass us in about three years. The Charlotte MSA is now the 22nd largest in the U.S., overtaking Pittsburgh.

Edited March 26, 2015 by Third Strike