Charlotte area population statistics

[urbanlover568]

Update on population trends. Charlotte dominates. 

NC Municipal Growth, 2016 Annual Update

[KJHburg]

Always interesting to see where people are moving to and where they are coming from. US Census estimates. http://www.charlotteobserver.com/news/local/article170451602.html

[deleted]

https://wallethub.com/edu/fastest-growing-cities/7010/

Not surprising but still cool to see validated again.

[rancenc]

And kudos to Concord which was ranked 24th overall for growth!

[QCxpat]

Charlotte’s Historical Population

Census                 Population

1800                       276                        

(In 1800, Charlotte was NC’s 8^th largest city/town behind (1) New Bern, 2,467; (2) Wilmington, 1,689; (3) Edenton, @ 1,000; (4) Fayetteville, @ 1,000, (5) Raleigh, 699, (6) Salisbury, 645, and (7) Washington, 600).

1810                       n.a.

1820                       n.a.

1830                       717

(In 1830, Charlotte was NC’s 6^th largest city/town behind (1) New Bern, 3,796; (2) Wilmington, 3,791; (3) Fayetteville, 2,868; (4) Raleigh, 1,654; and (5) Edenton, @1,500).

1840                       n.a.

1850                       1,065    

(In 1850, Charlotte was NC’s 9^th largest city/town behind (1) Wilmington, 7,264; (2) New Bern, 4,681; (3) Fayetteville, 4,646; (4) Raleigh, 4,581; (5) Greenville, 1,893; (6) Edenton, 1,607; (7) Greensboro, 1,500; and (8) Salisbury, 1,086).

1860                       2,265    

(On the eve of the Civil War in 1860, Charlotte was NC’s 6^th largest city/town behind (1) Wilmington, 9,552; (2) New Bern, 5,432; (3) Fayetteville, 4,790; (4) Raleigh, 4,780; and (5) Salisbury, 2.420).

1870                       4,473

(In 1870, Charlotte was NC’s 5^th largest city/town behind (1) Wilmington, 13,446; (2) Raleigh, 7,790; (3) New Bern, 5,849; and (4) Fayetteville, 4,660).

1880                       7,094

(In 1880, Charlotte was NC’s 3^rd largest city/town behind (1) Wilmington, 17,361; and (2) Raleigh, 9,265).

1890                       11,557

(In 1890, Charlotte was NC’s 3^rd largest city/town behind (1) Wilmington, 20,056; and (2) Raleigh, 12,700).

1900                       18,091

(In 1900, Charlotte was NC’s 2^nd largest city/town behind (1) Wilmington, 20,976).

1910                       34,014  

(In 1910, Charlotte captured the title as NC’s largest city for the first time.  However, Charlotte would not retain the title uninterrupted b/c the two towns of Winston and Salem merged in 1913, and so in the 1920 Census, Winston-Salem surged past Charlotte to become NC’s largest city).

1920                       46,338

(In 1920, Charlotte was NC’s 2^nd largest city behind (1) Winston-Salem, 48,395).

1930                       82,675

(In 1930, Charlotte recaptured the title as NC’s largest city.  In addition, in 1930 Charlotte took the title as the largest city in both North and South Carolina.  Charlotte had finally passed the grand ole dame of Charleston, S.C., which had a population of 62,265 in 1930.  Without interruption, Charlotte has remained the largest city in both Carolinas since the 1930 Census).

1940                       100,899   [1930-40, +22.0%]

1950                       134,042   [1940-50, +32.8%]

1960                       201,564   [1950-60, +50.4%]

1970                       241,420   [1960-70, +19.8%]

1980                       315,474   [1970-80, +30.7%]

1990                       395,934   [1980-90, +25.5%]

2000                       540,828   [1990-2000, +36.6%]

2010                       731,424   [2000-2010, +35.2%]

2011                       756,008

2012                       774,553

2013                       792,906

2014                       808,362

2015                       826,395

2016                       842,051   [2010-2016, +15.1%]

2017                       874,344 Est.       

[If Charlotte’s population growth rate would be same as in period 2010-2014 (+2.58%/yr), Charlotte’s city population in 2017 would be 874,344].

Data Sources:

(1) http://www.historync.org/NCCityPopulations1800s.htm

(NC Business History - North Carolina City/Town Populations 1800 - 1900)

(2)  http://population.us/nc/charlotte/

(Population of Charlotte, N.C.)

(3) http://population.us/nc/charlotte/

(Charlotte, NC. - Demographics)

(4) https://factfinder.census.gov/faces/tableservices/jsf/pages/productview.xhtml?src=bkmk

(U.S. Census Bureau American Fact Finder, Annual Estimates of the Resident Population for Incorporated Places of 50,000 or More Ranked by July 1, 2016 Population)

 

 

Edited November 3, 2017 by QCxpat

[15895]

Great post!

[ah59396]

This would take some work, but I’d love to see how the city population has grown only within its historical zip codes.

Say, only consider the zip codes that were part of Charlotte proper in 1930 when it took over as #1 in NC.  Then see what their population is today.

[QCxpat]

15 hours ago, ah59396 said:

This would take some work, but I’d love to see how the city population has grown only within its historical zip codes.

Say, only consider the zip codes that were part of Charlotte proper in 1930 when it took over as #1 in NC.  Then see what their population is today.

The PO has only used Zip Codes since 1963, though they used 2-digit postal zone numbers as early as 1943 for some large cities, e.g., Minneapolis 16, MN.  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ZIP_Code   

Also, here's a Postal District boundary map for Charlotte (you can zoom in and out on it):  http://www.zipmap.net/North_Carolina/Mecklenburg_County/Charlotte.htm

One could make a small start  via a link to Demograhics by Zip Code :  https://charlottechamber.com/demo-ecoprofile/demographics-by-zip-code/

This link shows Charlotte's Zip Codes, and Charlotte's population for each Zip Code as of the 2010 Census, as of 01/01/2015, and a Projection for each Zip Code as of 2020.

In addition, below is an excerpt from an article about Charlotte's density in Newgeography, entitled "The Evolving Urban Form: Charlotte," dated 01/08/2014.  The article contains an interesting graph that shows Charlotte's population for each Census from 1940 to 2010, with Charlotte's area in sq. miles and km, plus Charlotte's density for each decennial census in sq. miles and km.

Link for full article at:   http://www.newgeography.com/content/004130-the-evolving-urban-form-charlotte

Excerpt with Graph follows:

Declining Densities in the Core City

Charlotte is also in example of the difficulty of using the core municipality data for comparisons to the suburban balance of metropolitan areas. With North Carolina's liberal annexation laws, Charlotte has pursued a program of nearly continuous annexation such that in every 10 years since 1940, the city has added substantial new territory.

In 1940, the city of Charlotte covered a land area of 19 square miles (50 square kilometers) and had a population density of 5200 per square mile (2,000 per square kilometer). For a prewar core municipality, this was not at all dense. For example, Evansville Indiana, which had approximately the same population at the time, had a population density nearly twice that of Charlotte. Other larger core municipalities approached triple or more Charlotte's population density, such as Trenton, Buffalo, Providence, and Milwaukee.

Over the last seven decades, the city's population has risen by 6.2 times, while its land area has increased by 14.4 times (Table $$$). The result is a 53% decline in the city of Charlotte's population density, to 2456 per square mile (948 per square kilometer). This is only slightly above average density of the US built-up urban area – which includes the smallest towns and suburbs of every size – of 2,343 per square mile (1,455 per square kilometer). Indeed, the average far flung suburbs (30 miles distant) of Los Angeles, such as Pomona and Tustin, are more than 2.5 times as dense.

City of Charlotte (Municipality)
Population & Land Area: 1940-2010
Census	Population	Area: Square Miles	Area: Square KM	Density (Sq. Mile)	Density (KM)
1940	100,899	19.3	50.0	5,228	2,019
1950	134,042	40.0	103.6	3,351	1,294
1960	201,564	64.8	167.8	3,111	1,201
1970	241,178	76.0	196.8	3,173	1,225
1980	314,447	139.7	361.8	2,251	869
1990	395,934	174.3	451.4	2,272	877
2000	567,943	242.3	627.6	2,344	905
2010	731,424	297.8	771.3	2,456	948
Change	625%	1443%	1443%	-53.0%	-53.0%

 

Growth by Geography

The core city of Charlotte's ever-fluctuating boundaries make it necessary to use smaller area measures to estimate the distribution of population growth. This can be accomplished using zip code data from the 2000 and 2010 censuses.

Inner Charlotte, for the purposes of this analysis (zip codes 28202 through 28208) covers approximately 28 square miles (73 square kilometers) and had a population of approximately 92,000 in 2010 . This is a larger area than the city of Charlotte in 1940, which covered only two thirds as much land area and had more people. Between 2000 and 2010, this inner area population rose by 6,200 residents. All the gain was in the central zip code that comprises the downtown area (central business district), which in Charlotte is called "Uptown." Outside this small 1.8 square mile area (4.7 square kilometers), the inner area actually lost 1,400 residents.

Overall, the inner area of Charlotte – which has somewhat an obsessive hold on many city leaders – accounted for 1.0% of the metropolitan area growth from 2000 to 2010. This is not unlike other major metropolitan areas, which have experienced slow growth, particularly in areas adjacent to the downtown cores. Among the 51 US metropolitan areas with more than 1,000,000 population in 2010, net gain occurred within two miles of city hall, while this gain was erased by a loss of 272,000 between two and five miles of city hall.

Another 13% (64,000) of the 2000-2010 growth occurred in the middle Mecklenburg County zip codes (28209 to 28217), virtually all of which is in the city of Charlotte. This 185 square mile area, combined with the inner area, exceeds the land area of the city in 1990.

Mecklenburg County's outer zip codes, many of which are in the city, captured 37% of the metropolitan area's growth (184,000). The remaining 49% (247,000) of growth in the Charlotte metropolitan area was outside Mecklenburg County (Figure 3).

From 1990 to 2010, Charlotte was the seventh fastest growing metropolitan area out of the 51 with a population exceeding 1 million. Early data for the present decade shows Charlotte to have slipped to ninth fastest growing; however during this period, Charlotte has displaced Portland, Oregon as the nation's 23rd largest metropolitan area. Between 1990 and 2012, Charlotte added nearly 1,000,000 residents and now has 2.4 million residents.

Below are 2 other graphs regarding Charlotte and its level of suburbanization, and comparing the 53 US metros with more than 1M population.

See link to Newgeography story entitled "America's Most Suburbanized Cities," dated 06/07/2017 : 

http://www.newgeography.com/content/005640-us-metropolitan-areas-from-polycentricity-dispersed

Seven of the 10 most suburban cities are in three states. Three are in Florida and two each in North Carolina and Arizona. They are listed in Table 1, and data is provided for all 53 in Table 2.

Table 1
Most Suburban Cities: (Metroplitan Areas)
1	Charlotte, NC-SC
2	Riverside-San Bernardino, CA
3	Raleigh, NC
4	Orlando, FL
5	Birmingham, AL
6	Jacksonville, FL
7	Phoenix, AZ
8	San Antonio, TX
9	Tampa-St. Petersburg, FL
10	Tucson, AZ
Out of 53 with more than 1,000,000 population

The Most Suburban: Charlotte, NC-SC

Charlotte turns out to be the country’s most suburban metropolitan area. The exurban commuting patterns of Charlotte expanded substantially over the 2000 to 2010 decade, which resulted in the largest geographic expansion of any major metropolitan area. Its exurban population is 51 percent and its urban population density is approximately 1,700.

 

 

Table 2
Cities (Metropolitan Areas) Ranked by Extent of Suburbanization
Major Metropolitan Areas: 2011-2015
			Share (%) of Metropolitan Population by Sector
Rank	Metropolitan Area	% Suburban	CBD	Urban Core: Inner Ring	Earlier Suburbs	Later Suburbs	Exurbs
1	Charlotte, NC-SC	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	10.2%	39.2%	50.6%
2	Riverside-San Bernardino, CA	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	28.9%	29.6%	41.5%
3	Raleigh, NC	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	7.4%	56.8%	35.8%
4	Orlando, FL	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	15.7%	50.6%	33.7%
5	Birmingham, AL	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	41.6%	25.2%	33.2%
6	Jacksonville, FL	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	25.6%	49.0%	25.4%
7	Phoenix, AZ	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	29.1%	52.0%	18.9%
8	San Antonio, TX	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	38.6%	44.1%	17.3%
9	Tampa-St. Petersburg, FL	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	44.2%	41.7%	14.1%
10	Tucson, AZ	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	46.9%	41.0%	12.2%
11	Nashville, TN	99.8%	0.2%	0.0%	24.4%	36.9%	38.5%
12	San Jose, CA	99.8%	0.1%	0.1%	77.5%	9.3%	13.0%
13	Houston, TX	99.6%	0.4%	0.0%	33.2%	50.0%	16.4%
14	Dallas-Fort Worth, TX	99.5%	0.2%	0.3%	33.7%	43.1%	22.7%
15	Virginia Beach-Norfolk, VA-NC	99.5%	0.0%	0.5%	45.9%	38.0%	15.7%
16	Atlanta, GA	99.2%	0.2%	0.6%	14.8%	70.8%	13.6%
17	San Diego, CA	98.9%	0.0%	1.1%	61.3%	30.9%	6.7%
18	Sacramento, CA	98.3%	0.0%	1.7%	37.7%	40.9%	19.8%
19	Memphis, TN-MS-AR	98.1%	0.0%	1.9%	39.9%	35.3%	23.0%
20	Austin, TX	97.9%	0.4%	1.7%	15.4%	63.0%	19.6%
21	Las Vegas, NV	97.6%	0.4%	2.0%	16.2%	77.7%	3.8%
22	Oklahoma City, OK	97.2%	0.4%	2.4%	34.1%	32.6%	30.6%
23	Miami, FL	97.1%	0.3%	2.6%	50.0%	44.8%	2.4%
24	Denver, CO	96.9%	0.5%	2.7%	42.7%	42.7%	11.4%
25	Grand Rapids, MI	96.5%	0.0%	3.5%	33.0%	15.4%	48.0%
26	Salt Lake City, UT	96.5%	0.0%	3.5%	47.9%	39.2%	9.3%
27	Richmond, VA	95.6%	0.0%	4.4%	38.5%	38.4%	18.6%
28	Columbus, OH	95.3%	0.0%	4.7%	28.5%	38.6%	28.3%
29	Indianapolis. IN	95.0%	0.3%	4.6%	27.3%	42.6%	25.2%
30	Kansas City, MO-KS	94.8%	0.2%	5.0%	37.5%	26.9%	30.4%
31	Detroit,  MI	93.7%	0.1%	6.1%	60.2%	16.6%	17.0%
32	Louisville, KY-IN	91.2%	0.5%	8.3%	44.5%	26.0%	20.8%
33	Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN	90.0%	0.6%	9.4%	40.3%	27.9%	21.8%
34	Portland, OR-WA	90.0%	0.7%	9.3%	36.0%	39.7%	14.3%
35	Los Angeles, CA	89.4%	0.4%	10.1%	76.1%	5.3%	8.0%
36	Seattle, WA	89.3%	1.1%	9.7%	35.9%	40.7%	12.6%
37	New Orleans. LA	89.1%	0.2%	10.7%	50.3%	7.0%	31.8%
38	Hartford, CT	88.7%	0.1%	11.2%	77.4%	1.0%	10.3%
39	Rochester, NY	88.6%	0.3%	11.1%	46.8%	7.9%	34.0%
40	St. Louis,, MO-IL	88.4%	0.1%	11.5%	39.6%	26.1%	22.7%
41	Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN-WI	86.8%	0.5%	12.7%	31.4%	33.7%	21.7%
42	Baltimore, MD	84.3%	1.4%	14.3%	42.0%	20.6%	21.8%
43	Pittsburgh, PA	84.1%	1.3%	14.5%	56.0%	5.0%	23.1%
44	Washington, DC-VA-MD-WV	83.3%	1.6%	15.1%	28.2%	36.6%	18.4%
45	Cleveland, OH	78.3%	0.0%	21.7%	48.5%	13.6%	16.2%
46	Milwaukee,WI	76.6%	1.6%	21.7%	50.7%	10.5%	15.4%
47	Chicago, IL-IN-WI	74.2%	1.2%	24.6%	44.9%	18.5%	10.8%
48	Philadelphia, PA-NJ-DE-MD	74.1%	0.9%	25.0%	50.5%	15.1%	8.5%
49	Providence, RI-MA	73.9%	0.6%	25.5%	47.9%	2.8%	23.1%
50	San Francisco-Oakland, CA	73.0%	3.3%	23.7%	54.0%	7.6%	11.4%
51	Buffalo, NY	71.0%	0.3%	28.7%	51.3%	3.1%	16.6%
52	Boston, MA-NH	64.3%	3.2%	32.5%	48.6%	3.6%	12.2%
53	New York, NY-NJ-PA	46.7%	6.5%	46.8%	35.2%	5.5%	6.0%
Derived from American Community Survey using City Sector Model

N.B.:  I realize that some UP readers do not agree with the anti-New Urbanism thrust of some articles that appear in Newgeography.  I'm not a professional demographer, and I don't support the particular POV of the authors of  articles that appear on the Newgeography website.   But I  think that the raw data sets and graphs are interesting, aside from any spin that a particular author may choose to use as a framework for analysis.  Thanks.

Edited November 2, 2017 by QCxpat

[Merthecat]

Wow, very interesting posts, QCxpat!  I had been looking for historical population figures to determine the history of NC's largest cities, but never got that far.  My plan was to show on a map how the locations of the cities had evolved over time.

[QCxpat]

Density of Charlotte

City of Charlotte (Municipality)
Population & Land Area: 1940-2010
Census	Population	Area: Square Miles	Area: Square KM	Density (Sq. Mile)	Density (KM)
1940	100,899	19.3	50.0	5,228	2,019
1950	134,042	40.0	103.6	3,351	1,294
1960	201,564	64.8	167.8	3,111	1,201
1970	241,178	76.0	196.8	3,173	1,225
1980	314,447	139.7	361.8	2,251	869
1990	395,934	174.3	451.4	2,272	877
2000	567,943	242.3	627.6	2,344	905
2010	731,424	297.8	771.3	2,456	948
Change	625%	1443%	1443%	-53.0%	-53.0%

2016 Census  est. = 842,051.   Land Area = 305.1 sq. mi.  / 790.2 sq. km.   Pop. density = 2,760 sq. mi.  / 1,066 sq. km.

Charlotte's density peaked in 1940.   1940 Census = 100,899.   Land Area = 19.3 sq. mi. / 50 sq. km.   Pop. density = 5,228 sq. mi. /  2,019 sq. km.

Charlotte's density dipped to its lowest in 1980.   1980 Census = 314,447.   Land Area = 139.7 sq. mi. / 361.8 sq. km.   Pop. density = 2,251 sq. mi. / 869 sq. km.

From the lowest density point in 1980 until 2016, Charlotte's density has increased by 509 sq. mi. / 197 sq. km.     

Data sources:

(1)  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_United_States_cities_by_population_density  (List of U.S. Cities by Pop. Density as of 2010 Census)

(2)  http://demographia.com/db-uza2000.htm  (Urban Areas [metro. areas] in the U.S.: 1950 to 2010)

(3)  http://demographia.com/db-uza2000.htm  (Charlotte, N.C.)

 (4)  http://www.newgeography.com/content/004130-the-evolving-urban-form-charlotte

 

 

Edited November 4, 2017 by QCxpat
Insert graph

[videtur quam contuor]

Charlotte, and other cities in North Carolina, have long benefited from the generous laws in NC that allow(ed) cities to annex at will, essentially. Growth was organic and not constrained by antique and artificial borders. Charlotte came to an arrangement thirty-some years ago with the nearby towns on "spheres of influence" that allowed the smaller towns to have some say in zoning and annexation for areas not within the existing borders while still allowing Charlotte to annex for growth. The generous annexation allows the city to be large enough to be considered suburban now. Jacksonville FL and Indianapolis are two cities that became unified city-county years ago for simplified administration and these two appear near the top of this list and are similar in population with Charlotte. There have been efforts to eliminate the dual county and city administrations here but the best that has been done is to assign to each a part of the organization such as policing to the city and elections to the county and many, many more in the same way.

All this is to note that on the list that QCxpat provides (and thanks for that) the "old" cities rank lower and the "new" cities that grew post WW II are at the top. The list above is metro but clearly driven by the city at the heart of each.

[KJHburg]

^^^

Metropolitan Area	% Suburban	CBD	Urban Core: Inner Ring	Earlier Suburbs	Later Suburbs	Exurbs
1	Charlotte, NC-SC	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	10.2%	39.2%	50.6%

 

How is this true? Myers Park, Dilworth, SouthEnd, Plaza Midwood have 0% percent of the metro population???   That is not correct and makes no sense.   We do have people living in the CBD and Urban Core inner ring ????   This is not correct and I question who did the study?   Please explain if someone understands how we have 0% on those first 2 categories? 

Edited November 3, 2017 by KJHburg

[teeg]

^^^ he's not saying that no one lives in Myers Park, South End, etc.  Using the City Sector Model Criteria chart, those neighborhoods would be classified as "Earlier Suburbs".  From that same chart, we (and several other cities), either have no CBD, or no one lives in it. 

Which begs the obvious question: using their approach, where do the people who live in our actual CBD actually live?  I'm guessing that they have classified uptown as "Later Suburb".  

 

[QCxpat]

4 hours ago, teeg said:

^^^ he's not saying that no one lives in Myers Park, South End, etc.  Using the City Sector Model Criteria chart, those neighborhoods would be classified as "Earlier Suburbs".  From that same chart, we (and several other cities), either have no CBD, or no one lives in it. 

Which begs the obvious question: using their approach, where do the people who live in our actual CBD actually live?  I'm guessing that they have classified uptown as "Later Suburb".  

 

Great, if paradoxical, answer!  Everyone of Charlotte's prominent high-rise residential towers was constructed well after 1979, the American Community Survey  (ACS) City Sector Model's demarcation point for a "Later Suburb".   Charlotte's residential towers inside the CBD include:  (1) The Vue, 2010, 51 floors;  (2) Museum Tower Apts., 2017, 43 floors;  (3) Avenue,  2007, 36 floors;  (4) Ascent Uptown, 2017, 33 floors;  (5) TradeMark, 2007, 28 floors;  (6) Catalyst, 2009, 27 floors;  (7) Skye, 2013, 21 floors (hotel & residence);  (8) Sky House I, 2015, 24 floors;  (9) Sky House II, 2016, 24 floors;  (10) Element Uptown, 2014, 22 floors;  (11) The Madison, 2009, 15 floors;  (12) Crescent Stonewall Station, 2018 under construction, 22 floors;  and (13) Northwood Ravin Apts., 2018 under construction, 20 floors.

  

Edited November 3, 2017 by QCxpat

[ah59396]

@QCxpat this isn't the same website, but your hard work deserves something a little extra!

 

[QCxpat]

@ah59396   Actually, I learned a tremendous amount from you and from the other members of Charlotte UP who left posts on this thread.  For example, I didn't know what a news "embargo" on the release of annual Census estimates was until I read your posts a long time back.  Your pop. projections were fascinating and enjoyable to think about.  Plus your idiosyncratic sense of humor -- AWESOME!   Come back to Charlotte asap!  Thanks again so much.    

Edited November 3, 2017 by QCxpat
misspelling

[KJHburg]

^^^ I think 4th Ward development and renovation of homes started in late 1970s and 1978 stands out to me for some reason.  But in the early 1980s it was in earnest and like mentioned above massive apartment and condo towers did not start until the 1990s.  Maybe 1978 was the start of NCNB Community Dev. Corporation.   Regardless when the neighborhoods were started and some could say we have had continuous residents in the uptown core since the city's founding.  Remember Earle Village or was it Piedmont courts that was in 1st Ward.  

For a more recently grown city not in the northeast or midwest we have a lot of people living in the urban core.  Many more than a Houston or even Dallas! 

[ah59396]

1 hour ago, QCxpat said:

@ah59396   Actually, I learned a tremendous amount from you and from the other members of Charlotte UP who left posts on this thread.  For example, I didn't know what a news "embargo" on the release of annual Census estimates was until I read your posts a long time back.  Your pop. projections were fascinating and enjoyable to think about.  Plus your idiosyncratic sense of humor -- AWESOME!   Come back to Charlotte asap!  Thanks again so much.    

On 5/22/2014 at 10:39 AM, rjp212 said:

If Columbus and Charlotte continue to add the same amount of people each year, then we should overtake them around 2018.  Making us the 15th largest city. Of course a lot can change over time.

 

Columbus (12,450/year)

2013: 822,553  

2014: 835,003

2015: 847,453

2016: 859,903

2017: 872,353

2018: 884,803

2019: 897,253

2020: 909,703

 

Charlotte (18,420/year)

2013: 792,862

2014: 811,282

2015: 829,702

2016: 848,122

2017: 866,542

2018: 884,962

2019: 903,382

2020: 921,802

----

2025: 1,013,902.

 

 

Just for craps and giggles I did the cities just above Columbus as well.  Based on continued numerical change we will overtake each city in rankings in the year that I have bolded.  We should be ranked 12th by the time the 2020 Census comes out.  Crazy!

 

San Francisco (10,022/year)

2013: 837,442

2014: 847,464

2015: 857,486

2016: 877,530

2017: 887,552

2018: 897,574

2019: 907,596

2020: 917,618

 

Jacksonville (5,975/year)

2013: 842,583

2014: 848,558

2015: 854,533

2016: 860,508

2017: 866,483

2018: 872,458

2019: 878,433

2020: 884,408

 

Indianapolis (8,550/year)

2013: 843,393

2014: 851,943

2015: 860,493

2016: 869,043

2017: 877,593

2018: 886,143

2019: 894,693

2020: 903,243

 

 

Source: http://factfinder2.census.gov/faces/tableservices/jsf/pages/productview.xhtml?src=bkmk

 

 

1 hour ago, QCxpat said:

@ah59396   Actually, I learned a tremendous amount from you and from the other members of Charlotte UP who left posts on this thread.  For example, I didn't know what a news "embargo" on the release of annual Census estimates was until I read your posts a long time back.  Your pop. projections were fascinating and enjoyable to think about.  Plus your idiosyncratic sense of humor -- AWESOME!   Come back to Charlotte asap!  Thanks again so much.    

Well thanks, that's nicer than I deserve.  Since we're mentioning the wayback machine, props to @rjp212, whose projections are almost dead on.  Looks like we actually have a good shot at breaking 900k by 2018, a year ahead of schedule.  Holy mole.

Edited November 3, 2017 by ah59396

[QCxpat]

On 11/28/2017 @Phillydog posted:  "So you're insisting Charlotte can't grow past Jacksonville, FL, Columbus, OH, Indianapolis, IN and San Francisco?  Um, ok."

In this connection, there's an illuminating  prior post dated 05/22/2014 written by @rjp212  who projected the dates when Charlotte was likely to pass Columbus, Indianapolis, Jacksonville, and San Francisco.  Here is what @rjp212 said on the Charlotte Area Population (Coffeehouse) thread:

On 5/22/2014 at 1:39 PM, rjp212 said:

If Columbus and Charlotte continue to add the same amount of people each year, then we should overtake them around 2018.  Making us the 15th largest city. Of course a lot can change over time.

Columbus (12,450/year)

2013: 822,553  

2014: 835,003

2015: 847,453

2016: 859,903

2017: 872,353

2018: 884,803

2019: 897,253

2020: 909,703

 

Charlotte (18,420/year)

2013: 792,862

2014: 811,282

2015: 829,702

2016: 848,122

2017: 866,542

2018: 884,962

2019: 903,382

2020: 921,802

----

2025: 1,013,902.

Just for craps and giggles I did the cities just above Columbus as well.  Based on continued numerical change we will overtake each city in rankings in the year that I have bolded.  We should be ranked 12th by the time the 2020 Census comes out.  Crazy!

San Francisco (10,022/year)

2013: 837,442

2014: 847,464

2015: 857,486

2016: 877,530

2017: 887,552

2018: 897,574

2019: 907,596

2020: 917,618

 

Jacksonville (5,975/year)

2013: 842,583

2014: 848,558

2015: 854,533

2016: 860,508

2017: 866,483

2018: 872,458

2019: 878,433

2020: 884,408

 

Indianapolis (8,550/year)

2013: 843,393

2014: 851,943

2015: 860,493

2016: 869,043

2017: 877,593

2018: 886,143

2019: 894,693

2020: 903,243

Source: http://factfinder2.census.gov/faces/tableservices/jsf/pages/productview.xhtml?src=bkmk

Charlotte Population Growth:

Charlotte added more residents between 06/30/2015 and 07/01/2016 than all but 10 cities in the country according to US Census estimates.  Charlotte gained 15,656 residents, and Charlotte's growth rate was 1.9%  from 06/30/2015 to 07/01/2016.  See link at: http://www.charlotteobserver.com/news/local/article152427944.html  -- "Robust Growth Continues for Most - but not all- Places in Charlotte Region," The Charlotte Observer, by Adam Bell, May 25, 2017.

According to many economists, by the year 2025, it’s projected that the Charlotte area will be home to over 2.8 million residents, 18% more than current population estimates.  Charlotte's estimated metro area pop. in 2014 was 2,380,314, with a projected metro area pop. in 2025 of 2,819,071, or an increase of 438,762 and representing an 18.4% increase in Charlotte's metro area pop. from 2014 to 2025.  Mecklenburg County's 2014 population was 1,012,539, with a projected county pop. in 2025 of 1,252,058, or an increase of 239,519 representing a 23.7% increase in Mecklenburg County's pop. from 2014 to 2025.  See link at: http://www.charlottestories.com/heres-what-charlotte-will-look-like-in-2025/  --  "What will Charlotte look like in 2025?"

Charlotte is currently the third fastest-growing major U.S. city. If its population growth continues, Charlotte's population is set to surge by 47% from 2010 to 2030, growing from 1.87 million to about 2.74 million in just twenty years.  Much of the growth in the region is due to foreign immigration as well as return migration to the South for the lower cost of living.  See link at:  https://www.lawnstarter.com/charlotte-nc-lawn-care/what-will-charlotte-look-like-2025

However, note the variation in Charlotte's annual growth rates between 2010-11 (growth rate of 3.36%) and 2015-16 (growth rate of 1.89% on a larger base). 

Year	Population	Growth	Growth Rate
2016	842,051	15,656	1.89%
2015	826,395	18,033	2.23%
2014	808,362	15,456	1.95%
2013	792,906	18,353	2.37%
2012	774,553	18,545	2.45%
2011	756,008	24,584	3.36%
2010	731,424	190,596	35.24%
2000	540,828	144,894	36.60%
1990	395,934	80,460	25.50%
1980	315,474	74,054	30.67%
1970	241,420	39,856	19.77%
1960	201,564	67,522	50.37%
1950	134,042	33,143	32.85%
1940	100,899	18,224	22.04%
1930	82,675	36,337	78.42%
1920	46,338	12,324	36.23%
1910	34,014	15,923	88.02%
1900	18,091	6,534	56.54%
1890	11,557	4,463	62.91%
1880	7,094	2,621	58.60%
1870	4,473	2,173	94.48%
1860	2,300	1,200	109.09%
1850	1,100		0.00%

 

Source: Riction

 

Edited November 29, 2017 by QCxpat
modify font and size

[Guest]

I hate to be "that guy" but can a moderator move this stuff to the "Charlotte Population Statistics" Thread?

[Cadi40]

So do you all expect Charlottes population growth to increase or decrease or stay relativley constant. For me I would say increase since CLT is predicted to become the number one fasted growing major city by 2040 I believe.

[Nick2]

On 11/29/2017 at 5:13 PM, Cadi40 said:

So do you all expect Charlottes population growth to increase or decrease or stay relativley constant. For me I would say increase since CLT is predicted to become the number one fasted growing major city by 2040 I believe.

Unless something major changes, it'll probably be around what we've seen in the last 5 years. Probably around 2-3% per year for the next decade at least.

[RiverwoodCLT]

In 2020 Charlotte could go from 17 to 14 place if Fort Worth keeps growing like it has in  the last year.

[videtur quam contuor]

I read a story about the recent Atlanta Mayoral election and was curious about the number of voters, what seemed as a smaller number than I expected. I compared it to the CHarlotte mayor election and ours had ~40,000 more voters.  Then I checked wikipedia for city and metropolitan population. The key was that Charlotte city is one third of our metro population and Atlanta city is one-thirteenth of their metro. News to me, but understandable.

[QCxpat]

The US Census Bureau just released the 2017 State Population estimates as of 07/01/2017.  

North Carolina's 2017 est. pop. was  10,273,419.  NC's numerical increase from 2016 - 2017 was 116,730.   NC's pop. increased by 737,698 from 2010 to 2017 (7.7% change).   State Rank:  9th largest state.

South Carolina's 2017 est. pop. was  5,024,369.  SC's numerical increase from 2016 - 2017 was 64,547.  SC's pop. increased by 398,988 from 2010 to 2017 (8.6% change).   State Rank:  23rd largest state.

US Census Bureau Data Links:

https://www.census.gov/data/datasets/2017/demo/popest/nation-total.html

https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2017/estimates-idaho.html

 

Edited December 23, 2017 by QCxpat
Add US Census Bureau data source links