Jump to content

Charlotte area population statistics


Recommended Posts


2 hours ago, MothBeast said:

Our 2020 population was said to be 874,579. This is surprising as the 2019 estimate had us at 885,708 and 2020 at just over 900,000

In the South the ACS (sampled) estimates have been consistently higher than the 2020 enumeration figures. When the ACS takes samples they are able to statistically control for any reluctance (and refusals) to answer. Given the behavior of our past presidential administration there was understandably great reluctance to respond to the 2020 Census among undocumented populations. Since respondents to the 2020 form had to be 'enumerated' (as opposed to estimated) there was no way to correct for that undercount.  (the debate about including a citizenship question on the form was an effort to discourage responses from undocumented people. The (in)ability of the Commerce Department to add the question was finally settled in a Supreme Court case).

Long story short, I would bet Charlotte's real population is just over 900,000 (as the 2020 ACS reported), but flaws in the actual count will mean that 874,579 will be the 2020 number in the history books (and that politicians will use to allocate funds).

Edited by kermit
  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, kermit said:

The ACS (sampled) estimates have been consistently higher than the 2020 enumeration figures. When the ACS takes samples they are able to statistically control for any reluctance (and refusals) to answer. Given the behavior of our past presidential administration there was understandably great reluctance to respond to the 2020 Census among undocumented populations. Since respondents to the 2020 form had to be 'enumerated' (as opposed to estimated) there was no way to correct for that undercount. 

Long story short, I would bet Charlotte's real population is just over 900,000 (as the 2020 ACS reported), but flaws in the actual count will mean that 874,579 will be the 2020 number in the history books (and that politicians will use to allocate funds).

Might have been even bigger with Covid as knocking on people's doors last year was not advised and it is easy to ignore phone calls and mail.   There was very little in person canvassing.   I think that had a lot more to do with it.  

  • Like 3
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

57 minutes ago, KJHburg said:

As I have been to all 100 NC counties it is mostly swamps and forest land some agricultural.  The county seat is Columbia and is on the scuppernong river really pretty,  Much of the county land is National Wildlife refuge.   Friendly off the charts!  great stop on the way to OBX. 

Also, Tyrell county is the most threatened county by sea level rise in North Carolina. One of the most threatened counties in the entire US actually. It has very bad days ahead in the coming decades unfortunately. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

18 minutes ago, kermit said:

The ACS (sampled) estimates have been consistently higher than the 2020 enumeration figures. When the ACS takes samples they are able to statistically control for any reluctance (and refusals) to answer. Given the behavior of our past presidential administration there was understandably great reluctance to respond to the 2020 Census among undocumented populations. Since respondents to the 2020 form had to be 'enumerated' (as opposed to estimated) there was no way to correct for that undercount.  (the debate about including a citizenship question on the form was an effort to discourage responses from undocumented people. The (in)ability of the Commerce Department to add the question was finally settled in a Supreme Court case).

Long story short, I would bet Charlotte's real population is just over 900,000 (as the 2020 ACS reported), but flaws in the actual count will mean that 874,579 will be the 2020 number in the history books (and that politicians will use to allocate funds).

If that happened with Charlotte’s numbers I can imagine it happening to pretty much everywhere else

Link to comment
Share on other sites

31 minutes ago, kermit said:

The ACS (sampled) estimates have been consistently higher than the 2020 enumeration figures. When the ACS takes samples they are able to statistically control for any reluctance (and refusals) to answer. Given the behavior of our past presidential administration there was understandably great reluctance to respond to the 2020 Census among undocumented populations. Since respondents to the 2020 form had to be 'enumerated' (as opposed to estimated) there was no way to correct for that undercount.  (the debate about including a citizenship question on the form was an effort to discourage responses from undocumented people. The (in)ability of the Commerce Department to add the question was finally settled in a Supreme Court case).

Long story short, I would bet Charlotte's real population is just over 900,000 (as the 2020 ACS reported), but flaws in the actual count will mean that 874,579 will be the 2020 number in the history books (and that politicians will use to allocate funds).

So where does Charlotte rank in most populous cities now? Is it still 15th? Can’t find a link to the new numbers beyond just the top 10 cities. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 minutes ago, Crucial_Infra said:

So where does Charlotte rank in most populous cities now? Is it still 15th? Can’t find a link to the new numbers beyond just the top 10 cities. 

We barely came in above San Fran and have slipped a whole 12,000 behind Indy which was actually underestimated

Edited by Guest
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, KJHburg said:

As I have been to all 100 NC counties it is mostly swamps and forest land some agricultural.  The county seat is Columbia and is on the scuppernong river really pretty,  Much of the county land is National Wildlife refuge.   Friendly off the charts!  great stop on the way to OBX. 

Driving around rural Tyrell, which is all of it, I found numerous signs saying "High Tide Road Floods" or some such. Even on the map I was a long way from the ocean but the sound has tides and the ground muck is saturated so when the rain and high tide come water rises. Gator zone all around you. And Ducks Unlimited.

It gives one the idea of how the first English colonists in 1580's saw the landscape. Water and land mixing and sometimes become one thing. No way to increase population, decline is the only future.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Temeteron said:

If that happened with Charlotte’s numbers I can imagine it happening to pretty much everywhere else

Well, kinda. The deviation from 2020 estimates was pretty uneven.

 

image.png.ed2386c37a763c2f7728858233db8753.png

image.png.4828976fe0baa5d01812670666f1b530.png

I see high undercounts in some very high % hispanic areas, but its not like the first table is lacking in diversity (but it is entirely Northern Blue State (plus its spiritual twin, Hawaii).

 

Edited by kermit
  • Like 1
  • Confused 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

So for the metro Charlotte area it seems Cabarrus is the fastest growing, then Lancaster County then  York County then Mecklenburg county.

Two South Carolina counties aren't that far behind Cabarrus as far as growth. The data show Lancaster (more than 25% population increase) and York (just under 25%) are both outpacing the remaining surrounding counties, including Mecklenburg (21%). Despite adding more than 195,000 people over the last ten years, Mecklenburg now ranks behind Wake when it comes to the largest counties in North Carolina. Wake County surpassed Mecklenburg by almost 14,000 people.

Charlotte area growing, rural area decling, Census data shows | wcnc.com

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, KJHburg said:

So for the metro Charlotte area it seems Cabarrus is the fastest growing, then Lancaster County then  York County then Mecklenburg county.

Two South Carolina counties aren't that far behind Cabarrus as far as growth. The data show Lancaster (more than 25% population increase) and York (just under 25%) are both outpacing the remaining surrounding counties, including Mecklenburg (21%). Despite adding more than 195,000 people over the last ten years, Mecklenburg now ranks behind Wake when it comes to the largest counties in North Carolina. Wake County surpassed Mecklenburg by almost 14,000 people.

Charlotte area growing, rural area decling, Census data shows | wcnc.com

U.S. Census Bureau 2020 enumerated population and growth rate (%) of counties in the Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia NC/SC MSA 

Cabarrus                  26.8%                             225,804               Fastest growing county

Lancaster                25.3%                                96,016

York                            24.8%                             282,090  

Mecklenburg        21.3%                          1,115,982   

Union                        18.4%                              238,267

Iredell                       17.1%                              186,693   

Lincoln                     10.9%                                 86,810

Gaston                     10.6%                               227,943

Rowan                        6.1%                                146,875

Link:  https://www.census.gov/library/visualizations/interactive/2020-population-and-housing-state-data.html

  • Like 2
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 minutes ago, QCxpat said:

U.S. Census Bureau 2020 enumerated population and growth rate (%) of counties in the Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia NC/SC MSA 

Cabarrus                  26.8%                             225,804               Fastest growing county

Lancaster                25.3%                                96,016

York                            24.8%                             282,090  

Mecklenburg        21.3%                          1,115,982   

Union                        18.4%                              238,267

Iredell                       17.1%                              186,693   

Lincoln                     10.9%                                 86,810

Gaston                     10.6%                               227,943

Rowan                        6.1%                                146,875

Link:  https://www.census.gov/library/visualizations/interactive/2020-population-and-housing-state-data.html

thanks for the metro counties and I think this might be one of the first time in a while that Gaston county is growing faster than the state rate which is good for them.  I still think Gaston will accelerate even more in the next 10 years. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

31 minutes ago, QCxpat said:

U.S. Census Bureau 2020 enumerated population and growth rate (%) of counties in the Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia NC/SC MSA 

Cabarrus                  26.8%                             225,804               Fastest growing county

Lancaster                25.3%                                96,016

York                            24.8%                             282,090  

Mecklenburg        21.3%                          1,115,982   

Union                        18.4%                              238,267

Iredell                       17.1%                              186,693   

Lincoln                     10.9%                                 86,810

Gaston                     10.6%                               227,943

Rowan                        6.1%                                146,875

Link:  https://www.census.gov/library/visualizations/interactive/2020-population-and-housing-state-data.html

Oops, my bad

Edited by kermit
Link to comment
Share on other sites

12 minutes ago, kermit said:

Interesting that Gaston added more people than Cabarrus and nearly as many as Union.

I think that is total population and percentage growth of Gaston is 10.6%.  what is interesting is that Cabarrus is on the verge of passing Gaston County in population and may already have by now. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, KJHburg said:

I think that is total population and percentage growth of Gaston is 10.6%.  what is interesting is that Cabarrus is on the verge of passing Gaston County in population and may already have by now. 

Your right, don't know what I was thinking.

  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, KJHburg said:

does anyone know when the Metro populations will be released and how the MSAs are configured.  I am hoping Raleigh Durham is one metro as that would give NC two 2 Million plus metros. 

U.S. Census Bureau 2020 enumerated pop. and growth rate (%) of MSA's fully or partially in North Carolina

Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia NC/SC                                    18.6%               2,660,329

Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News VA/NC               5.0%                1,799,674

Raleigh-Cary, NC                                                                               25.1%               1,413,982   

Greensboro-High Point, NC                                                          7.3%                    776,566

Winston-Salem, NC                                                                            5.5%                    675,966

Durham-Chapel Hill, NC                                                               15.2%                   649,903

Fayetteville, NC                                                                                     8.2%                   520,378

Myrtle Beach-Conway-N. Myrtle Beach SC/NC            29.5%                   487,722

 Asheville, NC                                                                                       10.4%                   469,015

Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC                                                -0.1%                    365,276

Wilmington, NC                                                                                   12.2%                  285,905

Jacksonville, NC                                                                                   15.1%                  204,576

Burlington, NC                                                                                       13.4%                 171,415

Greenville, NC                                                                                           1.2%                 170,243 

Rocky Mount, NC                                                                                   -5.6%                143,870 

New Bern, NC                                                                                           -3.7%                122,168 

Goldsboro, NC                                                                                          -4.3%                117,333

Link:  https://www.census.gov/library/visualizations/interactive/2020-population-and-housing-state-data.html

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

14 hours ago, KJHburg said:

does anyone know when the Metro populations will be released and how the MSAs are configured.  I am hoping Raleigh Durham is one metro as that would give NC two 2 Million plus metros. 

With the caveat that I am not on an analytical role tonight...

  • Since the county data have been released the MSA populations are available now
  • The current definition of MSAs will be used until the OMB releases its decennial delineations (based on some new standards they are hashing out now) in June 2023

https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2021/01/19/2021-00988/recommendations-from-the-metropolitan-and-micropolitan-statistical-area-standards-review-committee

Edited by kermit
  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

11 hours ago, QCxpat said:

U.S. Census Bureau 2020 enumerated pop. and growth rate (%) of MSA's fully or partially in North Carolina

Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia NC/SC                                    18.6%               2,660,329

In 2020, the Charlotte Metro area fell from the 22nd largest in the country to the 23rd (compared to the Estimate ranking), being overtaken by metro Orlando by about 13,000 people. San Antonio metro is still #24 and about ~102,000 people behind Charlotte metro.

Edited by CLT2014
  • Thanks 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site you agree to our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy. We have placed cookies on your device to help make this website better. You can adjust your cookie settings, otherwise we'll assume you're okay to continue.