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Phillydog

States Most Like North Carolina

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If you scroll to the bottom of this page, there's an interesting analysis of the state "most like" the state you select.   Link in next post...

Edited by Phillydog
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https://projects.economist.com/us-2020-forecast/president

How states move together

Our model also simulates what would happen if the race moves, or the polls are biased, in similar amounts in like states. We calculate similarity between states by comparing their demographic and political profiles, such as the share of white voters who live there, how religious they are and how urban or rural the state is.

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It looks like the model is saying it's SC with a correlation of 84 and Alabama coming in second at 79? That's...interesting and I'm not fully understanding how that was being calculated. That said, this was a predictive model for last year's election and thus didn't include any 2020 election data. 

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