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US Census 2010

The South and West get crowded   2 members have voted

  1. 1. Will Southern and Western metros eventually push Northern and Midwestern metros out of the most populous in the country?

    • Yes, the current trends will continue.
    • No, the shift to south and west is not permanent.

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My projections of the 15 largest metros in 2010:

1. New York-Newark-Bridgeport, NY-NJ-CT-PA CSA 22,450,000

2. Los Angeles-Long Beach-Riverside, CA CSA 18,986,000

3. Chicago-Naperville-Michigan City, IL-IN-WI CSA 10,028,000

4. Washington-Baltimore-N. Virginia, DC-MD-VA-WV CSA 8,718,000

5. San Jose-San Francisco-Oakland, CA CSA 7,246,000

6. Dallas-Fort Worth, TX CSA 6,816,000

7. Philadelphia-Camden-Vineland, PA-NJ-DE-MD CSA 6,119,000

8. Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Gainsville, GA-AL CSA 6,057,000

9. Houston-Bayton-Huntsville, TX CSA 6,056,000

10. Boston-Worcester-Manchester, MA-NH CSA 5,896,000

11. Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Miami Beach, FL MSA 5,872,000

12. Detroit-Warren-Flint, MI CSA 5,498,000

13. Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, AZ MSA 4,595,000

14. Seattle-Tacoma-Olympia, WA CSA 4,019,000

15. Minneapolis-Saint Paul-Saint Cloud, MN-WI CSA 3,675,000

I derived these numbers by using the assumption that the estimated percentage increases between 2000 and 2005 would continue between 2006 and 2010. What do you all think we will see in reality?

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