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krazeeboi

"Old South" states and "New South" states

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I think the democrats are looking at Georgia and Texas as states that are not as reliably Republican as they used to be.

Republicans in Texas have got to be scared. The latino population in the state is massive. If they started turning out for elections more than 20%, they could flip the state in presidential elections. I'm not exaggerating at all here. White Republicans are at a massive demographic disadvantage in these two states. Turnout is the only thing keeping them in control.

By appealing to disaffected urban liberals in the major cities in NC and VA, and disadvantaged minorities in the rural counties, the dems flipped these states. This strategy will be very successful for them if they stick with it. Especially if they try to distance themselves from the Republicans' anti-immigration stance.

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...... But remember that Clinton also turned some Southern states blue, including Arkansas (obviously), Louisiana, and Georgia.

.....

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Attached is a map of counties/areas of the US that voted more GOP this time than in 2004. Clearly the Carolinas and Virginia trended more Dem while the interior deep South trended more GOP. Could it be that even South Carolina is not as "Old South" as it has a reputation of being?

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2008/11...TION_RECAP.html

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But this happened because there was a very strong candidate in Ross Perot who got almost 20% of the vote when Clinton won those states. It's believed that most of these votes would have gone to Bush Sr. if Perot had not run.

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Attached is a map of counties/areas of the US that voted more GOP this time than in 2004. Clearly the Carolinas and Virginia trended more Dem while the interior deep South trended more GOP. Could it be that even South Carolina is not as "Old South" as it has a reputation of being?

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2008/11...TION_RECAP.html

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