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Population Trends of Northwest Arkansas


Mith242

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  • 4 weeks later...

Found this looking around the other day:

Benton County cracks 200k; Washington County close behind:

http://factfinder.census.gov/servlet/GCTTa...2S&-_sse=on

Thanks for the link and info. Interesting figures to see. Ironic that three of the top four are in our area. Although I think it's only a matter of time before Faulkner passes up Sebastian.

Something else I've been meaning to mention, I had e-mailed the newspaper a while back about them mentioning Carroll County being a part of our metro. They called me back and wanted to make sure I wanted my e-mail printed in the paper. But I told them what I was really wanting was a response from the paper. They said they'd get back to me but never did.

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A new study came out recently that estimated that NWA's population will increase between the years 2000 to 2020 by 80%. In relation the study also estimated Little Rock-North Little Rock to increase by 30% during the same time period.

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A new study came out recently that estimated that NWA's population will increase between the years 2000 to 2020 by 80%. In relation the study also estimated Little Rock-North Little Rock to increase by 30% during the same time period.

I pulled my calculator up and plugged in 347,000 for the 2000 population and 80% of that would be adding 277,600 more people by 2020 to get a total of 624,600. The last estimate I heard for NWA was 440,00 as of this year so we'll need to add 184,600 more in the next 12 years, which sounds very possible even though our rate of growth has slowed.

I guess the only question is will the number of jobs increase at that rate since job growth is what drives population growth. It will be interesting to see exactly where the growth occurs- the Bentonville/ Rogers area seems poised to get the larger portion of it, although I'm sure Fayetteville/ Springdale and the outlying areas will see a lot also. If Fayetteville's "Green" initative pays off that should spur a population boom in it's immediate area.

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I found some old population projections from 2004 for NWA. I found them to be quite interesting after thinking about some of the numbers that were mentioned. People always say that if Walmart ever left NWA would die, or so to speak. It's obvious no one know's how NWA will continue to grow but even if the growth continues at a steady pace, by 2055 the economy should be much, much more diverse and be able to withstand a Walmart corruption. If you think about it, the university will only get larger and with all the other public, private, and government services that will eventually catch up, the economy should be able to hold on to itsef if Walmart left. No doubt that it would hurt the economy, but I think sometimes we tend to get a little ahead of ourselves and overthink the outcome.

Ok now back to the numbers... Here are some projections that I pulled from the link that you can click on below. Although some of the projections seem to be well thought out, I think the numbers will lie within a medium of the two tables.

Baseline Projections:______Upper Bound Projections:

2015- 510,872_________2015- 582,463

2025- 610,796_________2025- 764,048

2035- 706,184_________2035- 950,839

2045- 797,643_________2045- 1,140,838

2055- 885,523_________2055- 1,332,401

Link: http://fayetteville.com/pdfs/download.php/...3&revision=

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Yeah if something ever happened to Wal-mart or if they left it would certainly be a big blow, especially for Benton County. But overall I don't think Fayetteville itself would be hit too hard. It relies a lot more on the university. If Fayetteville can ever get something going in the tech field or the environmental sustainability field I think it would really help add some diversification to the metro. But it's probably going to be a while before we'll be able to see if the efforts Fayetteville is making now will pan out in the future. Thanks for the numbers slyder1. Still weird to think that if I live to a decent old age I could see NWA hit or get pretty close to the 1 Mil mark.

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A new study came out recently that estimated that NWA's population will increase between the years 2000 to 2020 by 80%. In relation the study also estimated Little Rock-North Little Rock to increase by 30% during the same time period.

Actually, the percentage increase predicted for LR-NLR was 35%. Here were the numbers I calculated:

2000 - 2020

Arkansas Population

2.83M - 3.58M...(27%)

Little Rock

610K - 824K...(35%)

NWA

347K - 625K...(80%)

80% is pretty impressive NWA!

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Actually, the percentage increase predicted for LR-NLR was 35%. Here were the numbers I calculated:

2000 - 2020

Arkansas Population

2.83M - 3.58M...(27%)

Little Rock

610K - 824K...(35%)

NWA

347K - 625K...(80%)

80% is pretty impressive NWA!

I think the 30% figure I just took from a newspaper article, guess they were a bit off. :lol: Yeah 80% is pretty crazy. Now we'll just have to see if the growth keeps coming like they've predicted. There's certainly some potential, but I'm still wondering about how the area is going to keep up with infrastructure.

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Ugh... I hope I never see NWA with 1 million +.

Huntsville and Eureka would be the suburbs.

I will move to Mountain Home....

Yeah by then maybe Mountain Home will be the size of NWA right now. :lol: It's hard to imagine NWA being that large but I won't necessarily look down on it. There's a couple of cities like San Antonio and Austin that are much larger than NWA but seem to have done well despite being as large as they are now. I often hear people say that they feel that both those cities 'feel smaller' than what the population really is. I think a lot of it will just depend on how NWA grows in the upcoming decades. Besides it's still a long time away, a lot of things could happen and it might never pan out that way.

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A metro population of 1 million isn't really that much. We're at 450,000 so just double the size now plus a few and we're there. I think there is room within the NWA's current planning areas to have a million without sprawling further out into the countryside. It's like Mith says- it depends on how growth occurs. If a regional plan of infill, redevelopment and increasing density so that mass transportation could succeed the area could make a million+ metro area and still be a nice place to live.

There's a spot along Hwy 79 just south of Centerton in Benton County where you can look south and see thousands of acres of flat empty land that will be developed. That area stretching out to XNA could hold hundreds of thousands of new residents, but without major transportation improvements would be a nightmare place to live. Hopefully the political will is there to limit development until the infrastructure is in place to support it.

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Ugh... I hope I never see NWA with 1 million +.

Huntsville and Eureka would be the suburbs.

I will move to Mountain Home....

Good grief, don't say that, haha. By the time NWA hits a million Mtn. Home will be about like Bentonville, maybe Rogers, because of all the people that keep moving there to get away from other growing or large areas. That little burg is growing at a steady clip too. Everytime I go visit (mainly to make sure my house hasn't burnt down, been flooded, or carried off by a tornado), I'm struck by how much has changed since I was there last. Same thing happened to me here when I was on vacation last spring.

Speaking of, it's been a bit warm lately... I'm starting to get the urge to make a weekend drive to Mtn. Home for some relaxation with the boat on the lakes.

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Good grief, don't say that, haha. By the time NWA hits a million Mtn. Home will be about like Bentonville, maybe Rogers, because of all the people that keep moving there to get away from other growing or large areas. That little burg is growing at a steady clip too. Everytime I go visit (mainly to make sure my house hasn't burnt down, been flooded, or carried off by a tornado), I'm struck by how much has changed since I was there last. Same thing happened to me here when I was on vacation last spring.

Speaking of, it's been a bit warm lately... I'm starting to get the urge to make a weekend drive to Mtn. Home for some relaxation with the boat on the lakes.

Yeah I think Mountain Home gets looked over because of all the growth occurring in NWA but it's growing pretty well in it's own right. Although I imagine most of their growth is retirees.

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Yeah I think Mountain Home gets looked over because of all the growth occurring in NWA but it's growing pretty well in it's own right. Although I imagine most of their growth is retirees.

Surprisingly, I don't believe it is. There are a lot of retirees there (and probably always will be, thank you magazines that tell people to retire there), but it's prominence and awareness has been raised lately with the outdoor crowd... Outdoor life named Mtn. Home, AR the #1 place in the US to live for hunting and fishing ( http://www.outdoorlife.com/article_gallery...9027&page=3 ) and Field and Stream named it the second best fishing town in the US ( http://www.fieldandstream.com/article_gall...4252&page=2 ), but these articles also highlighted a solid school system and a stellar hospital (I've worked there, it's truly head and shoulders above other hospitals in the state for towns that size, but that makes sense with the retiree concentration and money in the area), so recent growth has included a lot more families. My neighborhood has had four retirees move out and four younger families move in in the past year, and that's with a slow real estate market. It's made me think about listing my house, but I really like the little property I have there.

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Surprisingly, I don't believe it is. There are a lot of retirees there (and probably always will be, thank you magazines that tell people to retire there), but it's prominence and awareness has been raised lately with the outdoor crowd... Outdoor life named Mtn. Home, AR the #1 place in the US to live for hunting and fishing ( http://www.outdoorlife.com/article_gallery...9027&page=3 ) and Field and Stream named it the second best fishing town in the US ( http://www.fieldandstream.com/article_gall...4252&page=2 ), but these articles also highlighted a solid school system and a stellar hospital (I've worked there, it's truly head and shoulders above other hospitals in the state for towns that size, but that makes sense with the retiree concentration and money in the area), so recent growth has included a lot more families. My neighborhood has had four retirees move out and four younger families move in in the past year, and that's with a slow real estate market. It's made me think about listing my house, but I really like the little property I have there.

Almost makes me think about Bella Vista a bit. Although Mountain Home was a town and not set up as a retirement village. But Bella Vista certainly is becoming a lot more than a retirement village. Although I think the rest of the metro helped contribute it's change. Interesting to see that effect happening over there as well.

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  • 10 months later...

Guys - I posted this in a similar thread on the Little Rock forum - http://www.urbanplanet.org/forums/Rock-Gro...20&start=20 - ...thought you would find it of interest:

Population Growth from July 2007 - July 2008, ranked by percentage increase - from the U.S. Census Bureau (and more specifically, borrowed from this post on Skyscraperpage.com: http://forum.skyscraperpage.com/showthread.php?t=166799):

"Raleigh-Cary, NC"------------------------------------"1,088,765"------"1,043,961"--------"44,804"------4.3

"Charlotte-Gastonia-Concord, NC-SC"----------------"1,701,799"--- --"1,646,431" -------"55,368"------3.4

"Myrtle Beach-North Myrtle Beach-Cnwy, SC"---------"257,380"--------"249,711"----------"7,669"------3.1

"Durham, NC"--------------------------------------------"489,762"--------"478,003"---------"11,759"-----2.5

"Huntsville, AL"------------------------------------------"395,645"---------"386,322"----------"9,323"-----2.4

"Wilmington, NC"----------------------------------------"347,012"---------"338,780"----------"8,232"-----2.4

"Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Marietta, GA"----------------"5,376,285"------"5,261,296"--------"114,989"-----2.2

"New Orleans-Metairie-Kenner, LA"-------------------"1,134,029"-------1,109,411"---------"24,618"-----2.2

"Charleston-North Charleston-Smmrvlle, SC"-----------"644,506"-------"630,434"----------"14,072"-----2.2

"Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR-MO"----------------"443,976"-------"434,643"-----------"9,333"-----2.1

"Nashville-Davidson--Murfrsbro--Frnkln, TN"----------"1,550,733"-----"1,520,160"---------"30,573"-----2.0

"Greenville-Mauldin-Easley, SC"--------------------------"624,715"--------"612,567"---------"12,148"-----2.0

"Spartanburg, SC"------------------------------------------"280,738"--------"275,285"----------"5,453"-----2.0

"Columbia, SC"---------------------------------------------"728,063"--------"715,678"---------"12,385"-----1.7

"Ocala, FL"--------------------------------------------------"329,628"--------"324,093"----------"5,535"-----1.7

"Knoxville, TN"----------------------------------------------"691,152"-------"680,652"---------"10,500"-----1.5

"Savannah, GA"---------------------------------------------"334,353"-------"329,307"-----------"5,046"-----1.5

"Greensboro-High Point, NC"-------------------------------"705,684"-------"695,738"-----------"9,946"-----1.4

"Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR"---------------"675,069"--------"665,657"-----------"9,412"----1.4

"Winston-Salem, NC"---------------------------------------"468,124"--------"461,615"-----------"6,509"----1.4

"Orlando-Kissimmee, FL"---------------------------------"2,054,574"------"2,028,669"---------"25,905"----1.3

"Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL"-------------------------------"580,594"--------"572,967"-----------"7,627"----1.3

"Gulfport-Biloxi, MS"----------------------------------------"234,625"--------"231,656"-----------"2,969"----1.3

"Jacksonville, FL"------------------------------------------"1,313,228"------"1,297,813"----------"15,415"---1.2

"Asheville, NC"-----------------------------------------------"408,436"--------"403,528"-----------"4,908"---1.2

"Port St. Lucie, FL"-------------------------------------------"403,768"--------"398,880"-----------"4,888"---1.2

"Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC"------------------------"534,218"--------"528,312"-----------"5,906"---1.1

"Tuscaloosa, AL"----------------------------------------------"206,765"--------"204,498"-----------"2,267"---1.1

"Tallahassee, FL"----------------------------------------------"357,259"--------"353,425"-----------"3,834"---1.1

"Lafayette, LA"------------------------------------------------"259,073"---------"256,273"----------"2,800"---1.1

"Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC"-----------------------------"363,036"---------"359,569"----------"3,467"---1.0

"Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL"----------------------------------"593,136"---------"588,129"----------"5,007"---0.9

"Birmingham-Hoover, AL"----------------------------------"1,117,608"-------"1,108,672"----------"8,936"---0.8

"Chattanooga, TN-GA"-----------------------------------------"518,441"---------"514,209"----------"4,232"---0.8

"Gainesville, FL"------------------------------------------------"258,555"---------"256,417"----------"2,138"---0.8

"Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL"---------------------"2,733,761"------"2,715,273"---------"18,488"---0.7

"Jackson, MS"---------------------------------------------------"537,285"--------"533,794"-----------"3,491"---0.7

"Fort Smith, AR-OK"--------------------------------------------"290,977"--------"288,913"-----------"2,064"---0.7

"Baton Rouge, LA"----------------------------------------------"774,327"---------"769,397"----------"4,930"---0.6

"Memphis, TN-MS-AR"----------------------------------------"1,285,732"------"1,279,120"----------"6,612"---0.5

"Mobile, AL"------------------------------------------------------"406,309"--------"404,097"----------"2,212"---0.5

"Shreveport-Bossier City, LA" ----------------------------------"389,533"--------"387,500"----------"2,033"---0.5

"Naples-Marco Island, FL"---------------------------------------"315,258"--------"313,655"----------"1,603"---0.5

"Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL"-------------------------------"452,992"--------"451,391"----------"1,601"---0.4

"Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL"----------------"5,414,772"------"5,392,118"--------"22,654"---0.4

"Bradenton-Sarasota-Venice, FL"-------------------------------"687,823"---------"685,002"---------"2,821"---0.4

"Macon, GA"------------------------------------------------------"230,777"---------"229,831"-----------"946"---0.4

"Columbus, GA-AL"-----------------------------------------------"287,653"---------"286,889"------------764---0.3

"Houma-Bayou Cane-Thibodaux, LA"---------------------------"201,148"----------"201,020"------------128---0.1

"Montgomery, AL"------------------------------------------------"365,924"--------- "365,976"-----------{sodEmoji.|} -52---0.0

A couple of interesting things to note:

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Guys - I posted this in a similar thread on the Little Rock forum - http://www.urbanplanet.org/forums/Rock-Gro...20&start=20 - ...thought you would find it of interest:

Population Growth from July 2007 - July 2008, ranked by percentage increase - from the U.S. Census Bureau (and more specifically, borrowed from this post on Skyscraperpage.com: http://forum.skyscraperpage.com/showthread.php?t=166799):

"Raleigh-Cary, NC"------------------------------------"1,088,765"------"1,043,961"--------"44,804"------4.3

"Charlotte-Gastonia-Concord, NC-SC"----------------"1,701,799"--- --"1,646,431" -------"55,368"------3.4

"Myrtle Beach-North Myrtle Beach-Cnwy, SC"---------"257,380"--------"249,711"----------"7,669"------3.1

"Durham, NC"--------------------------------------------"489,762"--------"478,003"---------"11,759"-----2.5

"Huntsville, AL"------------------------------------------"395,645"---------"386,322"----------"9,323"-----2.4

"Wilmington, NC"----------------------------------------"347,012"---------"338,780"----------"8,232"-----2.4

"Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Marietta, GA"----------------"5,376,285"------"5,261,296"--------"114,989"-----2.2

"New Orleans-Metairie-Kenner, LA"-------------------"1,134,029"-------1,109,411"---------"24,618"-----2.2

"Charleston-North Charleston-Smmrvlle, SC"-----------"644,506"-------"630,434"----------"14,072"-----2.2

"Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR-MO"----------------"443,976"-------"434,643"-----------"9,333"-----2.1

"Nashville-Davidson--Murfrsbro--Frnkln, TN"----------"1,550,733"-----"1,520,160"---------"30,573"-----2.0

"Greenville-Mauldin-Easley, SC"--------------------------"624,715"--------"612,567"---------"12,148"-----2.0

"Spartanburg, SC"------------------------------------------"280,738"--------"275,285"----------"5,453"-----2.0

"Columbia, SC"---------------------------------------------"728,063"--------"715,678"---------"12,385"-----1.7

"Ocala, FL"--------------------------------------------------"329,628"--------"324,093"----------"5,535"-----1.7

"Knoxville, TN"----------------------------------------------"691,152"-------"680,652"---------"10,500"-----1.5

"Savannah, GA"---------------------------------------------"334,353"-------"329,307"-----------"5,046"-----1.5

"Greensboro-High Point, NC"-------------------------------"705,684"-------"695,738"-----------"9,946"-----1.4

"Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR"---------------"675,069"--------"665,657"-----------"9,412"----1.4

"Winston-Salem, NC"---------------------------------------"468,124"--------"461,615"-----------"6,509"----1.4

"Orlando-Kissimmee, FL"---------------------------------"2,054,574"------"2,028,669"---------"25,905"----1.3

"Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL"-------------------------------"580,594"--------"572,967"-----------"7,627"----1.3

"Gulfport-Biloxi, MS"----------------------------------------"234,625"--------"231,656"-----------"2,969"----1.3

"Jacksonville, FL"------------------------------------------"1,313,228"------"1,297,813"----------"15,415"---1.2

"Asheville, NC"-----------------------------------------------"408,436"--------"403,528"-----------"4,908"---1.2

"Port St. Lucie, FL"-------------------------------------------"403,768"--------"398,880"-----------"4,888"---1.2

"Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC"------------------------"534,218"--------"528,312"-----------"5,906"---1.1

"Tuscaloosa, AL"----------------------------------------------"206,765"--------"204,498"-----------"2,267"---1.1

"Tallahassee, FL"----------------------------------------------"357,259"--------"353,425"-----------"3,834"---1.1

"Lafayette, LA"------------------------------------------------"259,073"---------"256,273"----------"2,800"---1.1

"Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC"-----------------------------"363,036"---------"359,569"----------"3,467"---1.0

"Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL"----------------------------------"593,136"---------"588,129"----------"5,007"---0.9

"Birmingham-Hoover, AL"----------------------------------"1,117,608"-------"1,108,672"----------"8,936"---0.8

"Chattanooga, TN-GA"-----------------------------------------"518,441"---------"514,209"----------"4,232"---0.8

"Gainesville, FL"------------------------------------------------"258,555"---------"256,417"----------"2,138"---0.8

"Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL"---------------------"2,733,761"------"2,715,273"---------"18,488"---0.7

"Jackson, MS"---------------------------------------------------"537,285"--------"533,794"-----------"3,491"---0.7

"Fort Smith, AR-OK"--------------------------------------------"290,977"--------"288,913"-----------"2,064"---0.7

"Baton Rouge, LA"----------------------------------------------"774,327"---------"769,397"----------"4,930"---0.6

"Memphis, TN-MS-AR"----------------------------------------"1,285,732"------"1,279,120"----------"6,612"---0.5

"Mobile, AL"------------------------------------------------------"406,309"--------"404,097"----------"2,212"---0.5

"Shreveport-Bossier City, LA" ----------------------------------"389,533"--------"387,500"----------"2,033"---0.5

"Naples-Marco Island, FL"---------------------------------------"315,258"--------"313,655"----------"1,603"---0.5

"Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL"-------------------------------"452,992"--------"451,391"----------"1,601"---0.4

"Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL"----------------"5,414,772"------"5,392,118"--------"22,654"---0.4

"Bradenton-Sarasota-Venice, FL"-------------------------------"687,823"---------"685,002"---------"2,821"---0.4

"Macon, GA"------------------------------------------------------"230,777"---------"229,831"-----------"946"---0.4

"Columbus, GA-AL"-----------------------------------------------"287,653"---------"286,889"------------764---0.3

"Houma-Bayou Cane-Thibodaux, LA"---------------------------"201,148"----------"201,020"------------128---0.1

"Montgomery, AL"------------------------------------------------"365,924"--------- "365,976"-----------{sodEmoji.|} -52---0.0

A couple of interesting things to note:

• NWA ranked #9 on the list at 2.1%, adding 9,333

• LRC ranked #19 on the list at 1.4%, adding 9,412

• Both NWA and LRC EACH added more people than did many, many other sizable cities such as Shreveport, Mobile, Jackson, Baton Rouge, Birmingham, Memphis, etc...some by a substantial margin (growth in Jackson, Shreveport, Birmingham and Memphis is dismal).

• Percentage growth in NC/SC is quite phenomenal

• Atlanta is clearly top dog in this list, adding over 115,000 in one year - ridiculous growth, and a high percentage for such a very large metropolitan area

Cool, thanks for the info. I always liked looking at tables of info like this and comparing. :lol: I'll be curious to see how the next one will be. I think things in NWA have certainly slowed down after Sept '08. Either way things have certainly slowed down from that boom period where we were adding around 1,200 people a month. Even when the economy gets better I'm curious to see if there will be another jump in population or if we've already seen the big boom there.

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  • 3 years later...

The census released some more info on NWA. This time it was about the urbanized growth rate. NWA ended up ranked 15th for urbanized growth between 2000-2010, a 71% increase from 171,585 in 2000. The urbanized part of the metro now has 295,083 people. While there was population growth, what's also factored into this is the fact that the urbanized area has expanded from what was previously considered. Before it was mainly Fayetteville, Springdale, Lowell, Rogers and Bentonville. But now Bella Vista, Cave Springs, Centerton, Pea Ridge, Tontitown, Prairie Grove and even a small section of McDonald County, MO is considered part of the urbanized area. It apparently caught people off guard. Most people were expecting the figure to be somewhere above 200,000, but not almost 300,000. As expected NWA will now become a Transportation Management Area with more control over how federal funds for transportation are used in the area.

Just to throw in some other state figures. The Ft Smith urbanized area grew 15.5% from 106,407 to 122,947. The Little Rock urbanized area grew 19.7% from 360,331 to 431,388. And the Jonesboro urbanized area grew 26.3% from 51,804 to 65,419.

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  • 11 months later...

Honestly, from previous posts I can't tell a difference on population in terms of raw numbers, but Benton and Washington kept growing at a 2% rate according to today's paper.  Glad they didn't keep the relevant stats behind their pay wall:

 

http://www.nwaonline.com/news/2013/mar/14/population-grows-2-percent/

 

If NWA and FSM were just a leeeeeeeeeeeeetle bit closer (giving us a combined metro population of around 730,000+ it might be interesting what we'd see.  As it is, growth marches on.

 

 

By the Numbers

Population Estimates

Census Bureau population estimates for counties include births, deaths and migration.

 

2011 2012 Percent Change

 

Benton County 227,535 232,268 2 percent

 

Births 3249 3234 0 percent

 

Birth rate 14 births per 1,000 14 births per 1,000

 

Deaths 1548 1518 -2 percent

 

Death rate 7 deaths per 1,000 7 deaths per 1,000

 

New migrants 2867 2973 4 percent

 

Migration rate 13 new migrants per 1,000 13 new migrants per 1,000

 

Washington County 207,801 211,411 2 percent

 

Births 3193 3219 1 percent

 

Birth rate 16 births per 1,000 people 15 births per 1,000 people

 

Deaths 1340 1328 -1 percent

 

Death rate 7 deaths per 1,000 people 6 deaths per 1,000 people

 

New migrants 1809 1715 -5 percent

 

Migration rate 9 new migrants per 1,000 8 new migrants per 1,000

 

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

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Honestly, from previous posts I can't tell a difference on population in terms of raw numbers, but Benton and Washington kept growing at a 2% rate according to today's paper.  Glad they didn't keep the relevant stats behind their pay wall:

 

http://www.nwaonline.com/news/2013/mar/14/population-grows-2-percent/

 

If NWA and FSM were just a leeeeeeeeeeeeetle bit closer (giving us a combined metro population of around 730,000+ it might be interesting what we'd see.  As it is, growth marches on.

Speaking about the population growth, looks like we ranked 38th for the growth between July 2011 and July 2012.

 

http://nwahomepage.com/fulltext-news?nxd_id=413072

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Reposting from "theman" on the Little Rock forum...nice find/article link:

 

An interesting article on the metros that will have a population of 1 million by 2050.  The Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway metro would hit a million in August 2037 and the Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers would hit a million in January 2045.

 

http://www.bizjourna...oining-the.html

 

Link to Little Rock forum thread:

 

http://www.urbanplanet.org/forums/index.php/topic/29544-little-rock-population-estimates/page-4

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Reposting from "theman" on the Little Rock forum...nice find/article link:

 

An interesting article on the metros that will have a population of 1 million by 2050.  The Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway metro would hit a million in August 2037 and the Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers would hit a million in January 2045.

 

http://www.bizjourna...oining-the.html

 

Link to Little Rock forum thread:

 

http://www.urbanplanet.org/forums/index.php/topic/29544-little-rock-population-estimates/page-4

Cool, thanks for the links.   :thumbsup:  Another interesting thing I came across.  NWA has by far the lowest current population on that list.  Yet is expected to beat out some of those other metros to the mark.

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Cool, thanks for the links.   :thumbsup:  Another interesting thing I came across.  NWA has by far the lowest current population on that list.  Yet is expected to beat out some of those other metros to the mark.

 

Yeah, it would be compelling if they listed the average annual growth rate per metro in that list since it's clear some are tracking faster than others (NWA for instance).  For instance, and this is completely anecdotal without the data, but LR is currently ranked 72 but if you assume the list will play out in order (which it won't, but it could go either way), LR would be the 70th metro to hit 1,000,000 in the U.S.  NWA would be the 75th 7 years later.  Furthermore, one could infer - though there are lots of unknowns - that NWA would pass LR-C in 40 years or so.

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